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Decision Making with Imperfect Decision Makers

Prescriptive Bayesian decision making has reached a high level of maturity and is well-supported algorithmically. However, experimental data shows that real decision makers choose such Bayes-optimal decisions surprisingly infrequently, often making decisions that are badly sub-optimal. So prevalent...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Guy, Tatiana Valentine, Karny, Miroslav, Wolpert, David H
Lenguaje:eng
Publicado: Springer 2012
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-24647-0
http://cds.cern.ch/record/1486855
Descripción
Sumario:Prescriptive Bayesian decision making has reached a high level of maturity and is well-supported algorithmically. However, experimental data shows that real decision makers choose such Bayes-optimal decisions surprisingly infrequently, often making decisions that are badly sub-optimal. So prevalent is such imperfect decision-making that it should be accepted as an inherent feature of real decision makers living within interacting societies. To date such societies have been investigated from an economic and gametheoretic perspective, and even to a degree from a physics perspective. However, lit