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Decision Making with Imperfect Decision Makers
Prescriptive Bayesian decision making has reached a high level of maturity and is well-supported algorithmically. However, experimental data shows that real decision makers choose such Bayes-optimal decisions surprisingly infrequently, often making decisions that are badly sub-optimal. So prevalent...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Lenguaje: | eng |
Publicado: |
Springer
2012
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-24647-0 http://cds.cern.ch/record/1486855 |
Sumario: | Prescriptive Bayesian decision making has reached a high level of maturity and is well-supported algorithmically. However, experimental data shows that real decision makers choose such Bayes-optimal decisions surprisingly infrequently, often making decisions that are badly sub-optimal. So prevalent is such imperfect decision-making that it should be accepted as an inherent feature of real decision makers living within interacting societies. To date such societies have been investigated from an economic and gametheoretic perspective, and even to a degree from a physics perspective. However, lit |
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