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Undesirable effects of covariance matrix techniques for error analysis
Regression with $\chi^2$ constructed from the covariance matrix should not be used for some combinations of covariance matrices and fitting functions. Using the technique for unsuitable combinations can amplify systematic errors. This amplification is uncontrolled, and can produce arbitrarily inaccu...
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Lenguaje: | eng |
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1993
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Acceso en línea: | https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.49.6240 http://cds.cern.ch/record/249291 |
_version_ | 1780885433401475072 |
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author | Seibert, David |
author_facet | Seibert, David |
author_sort | Seibert, David |
collection | CERN |
description | Regression with $\chi^2$ constructed from the covariance matrix should not be used for some combinations of covariance matrices and fitting functions. Using the technique for unsuitable combinations can amplify systematic errors. This amplification is uncontrolled, and can produce arbitrarily inaccurate results that might not be ruled out by a $\chi^2$ test. In addition, this technique can give incorrect (artificially small) errors for fit parameters. I give a test for this instability and a more robust (but computationally more intensive) method for fitting correlated data. |
id | cern-249291 |
institution | Organización Europea para la Investigación Nuclear |
language | eng |
publishDate | 1993 |
record_format | invenio |
spelling | cern-2492912023-03-12T06:04:04Zdoi:10.1103/PhysRevD.49.6240http://cds.cern.ch/record/249291engSeibert, DavidUndesirable effects of covariance matrix techniques for error analysisParticle Physics - LatticeMathematical Physics and MathematicsRegression with $\chi^2$ constructed from the covariance matrix should not be used for some combinations of covariance matrices and fitting functions. Using the technique for unsuitable combinations can amplify systematic errors. This amplification is uncontrolled, and can produce arbitrarily inaccurate results that might not be ruled out by a $\chi^2$ test. In addition, this technique can give incorrect (artificially small) errors for fit parameters. I give a test for this instability and a more robust (but computationally more intensive) method for fitting correlated data.A version of the covariance matrix technique for treating correlated data points can amplify systematic errors that are present in the data. In addition, this technique systematically underestimates errors. Both the amplification and the underestimate of the error are uncontrolled, and arbitrarily inaccurate results can be obtained. I discuss alternative procedures for handling correlated data.hep-lat/9305014CERN-TH-6892-93CERN-TH-6892-93oai:cds.cern.ch:2492911993-05-17 |
spellingShingle | Particle Physics - Lattice Mathematical Physics and Mathematics Seibert, David Undesirable effects of covariance matrix techniques for error analysis |
title | Undesirable effects of covariance matrix techniques for error analysis |
title_full | Undesirable effects of covariance matrix techniques for error analysis |
title_fullStr | Undesirable effects of covariance matrix techniques for error analysis |
title_full_unstemmed | Undesirable effects of covariance matrix techniques for error analysis |
title_short | Undesirable effects of covariance matrix techniques for error analysis |
title_sort | undesirable effects of covariance matrix techniques for error analysis |
topic | Particle Physics - Lattice Mathematical Physics and Mathematics |
url | https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.49.6240 http://cds.cern.ch/record/249291 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT seibertdavid undesirableeffectsofcovariancematrixtechniquesforerroranalysis |