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Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories

Physical theories that depend on many parameters or are tested against data from many different experiments pose unique challenges to statistical inference. Many models in particle physics, astrophysics and cosmology fall into one or both of these categories. These issues are often sidestepped with...

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Autores principales: AbdusSalam, Shehu S., Agocs, Fruzsina J., Allanach, Benjamin C., Athron, Peter, Balázs, Csaba, Bagnaschi, Emanuele, Bechtle, Philip, Buchmueller, Oliver, Beniwal, Ankit, Bhom, Jihyun, Bloor, Sanjay, Bringmann, Torsten, Buckley, Andy, Butter, Anja, Camargo-Molina, José Eliel, Chrzaszcz, Marcin, Conrad, Jan, Cornell, Jonathan M., Danninger, Matthias, de Blas, Jorge, De Roeck, Albert, Desch, Klaus, Dolan, Matthew, Dreiner, Herbert, Eberhardt, Otto, Ellis, John, Farmer, Ben, Fedele, Marco, Flächer, Henning, Fowlie, Andrew, Gonzalo, Tomás E., Grace, Philip, Hamer, Matthias, Handley, Will, Harz, Julia, Heinemeyer, Sven, Hoof, Sebastian, Hotinli, Selim, Jackson, Paul, Kahlhoefer, Felix, Kowalska, Kamila, Krämer, Michael, Kvellestad, Anders, Lucio Martinez, Miriam, Mahmoudi, Farvah, Martinez Santos, Diego, Martinez, Gregory D., Mishima, Satoshi, Olive, Keith, Paul, Ayan, Prim, Markus Tobias, Porod, Werner, Raklev, Are, Renk, Janina J., Rogan, Christopher, Roszkowski, Leszek, Ruiz de Austri, Roberto, Sakurai, Kazuki, Scaffidi, Andre, Scott, Pat, Sessolo, Enrico Maria, Stefaniak, Tim, Stöcker, Patrick, Su, Wei, Trojanowski, Sebastian, Trotta, Roberto, Tsai, Yue-Lin Sming, Van den Abeele, Jeriek, Valli, Mauro, Vincent, Aaron C., Weiglein, Georg, White, Martin, Wienemann, Peter, Wu, Lei, Zhang, Yang
Lenguaje:eng
Publicado: 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1361-6633/ac60ac
http://cds.cern.ch/record/2751421
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author AbdusSalam, Shehu S.
Agocs, Fruzsina J.
Allanach, Benjamin C.
Athron, Peter
Balázs, Csaba
Bagnaschi, Emanuele
Bechtle, Philip
Buchmueller, Oliver
Beniwal, Ankit
Bhom, Jihyun
Bloor, Sanjay
Bringmann, Torsten
Buckley, Andy
Butter, Anja
Camargo-Molina, José Eliel
Chrzaszcz, Marcin
Conrad, Jan
Cornell, Jonathan M.
Danninger, Matthias
de Blas, Jorge
De Roeck, Albert
Desch, Klaus
Dolan, Matthew
Dreiner, Herbert
Eberhardt, Otto
Ellis, John
Farmer, Ben
Fedele, Marco
Flächer, Henning
Fowlie, Andrew
Gonzalo, Tomás E.
Grace, Philip
Hamer, Matthias
Handley, Will
Harz, Julia
Heinemeyer, Sven
Hoof, Sebastian
Hotinli, Selim
Jackson, Paul
Kahlhoefer, Felix
Kowalska, Kamila
Krämer, Michael
Kvellestad, Anders
Lucio Martinez, Miriam
Mahmoudi, Farvah
Martinez Santos, Diego
Martinez, Gregory D.
Mishima, Satoshi
Olive, Keith
Paul, Ayan
Prim, Markus Tobias
Porod, Werner
Raklev, Are
Renk, Janina J.
Rogan, Christopher
Roszkowski, Leszek
Ruiz de Austri, Roberto
Sakurai, Kazuki
Scaffidi, Andre
Scott, Pat
Sessolo, Enrico Maria
Stefaniak, Tim
Stöcker, Patrick
Su, Wei
Trojanowski, Sebastian
Trotta, Roberto
Tsai, Yue-Lin Sming
Van den Abeele, Jeriek
Valli, Mauro
Vincent, Aaron C.
Weiglein, Georg
White, Martin
Wienemann, Peter
Wu, Lei
Zhang, Yang
author_facet AbdusSalam, Shehu S.
Agocs, Fruzsina J.
Allanach, Benjamin C.
Athron, Peter
Balázs, Csaba
Bagnaschi, Emanuele
Bechtle, Philip
Buchmueller, Oliver
Beniwal, Ankit
Bhom, Jihyun
Bloor, Sanjay
Bringmann, Torsten
Buckley, Andy
Butter, Anja
Camargo-Molina, José Eliel
Chrzaszcz, Marcin
Conrad, Jan
Cornell, Jonathan M.
Danninger, Matthias
de Blas, Jorge
De Roeck, Albert
Desch, Klaus
Dolan, Matthew
Dreiner, Herbert
Eberhardt, Otto
Ellis, John
Farmer, Ben
Fedele, Marco
Flächer, Henning
Fowlie, Andrew
Gonzalo, Tomás E.
Grace, Philip
Hamer, Matthias
Handley, Will
Harz, Julia
Heinemeyer, Sven
Hoof, Sebastian
Hotinli, Selim
Jackson, Paul
Kahlhoefer, Felix
Kowalska, Kamila
Krämer, Michael
Kvellestad, Anders
Lucio Martinez, Miriam
Mahmoudi, Farvah
Martinez Santos, Diego
Martinez, Gregory D.
Mishima, Satoshi
Olive, Keith
Paul, Ayan
Prim, Markus Tobias
Porod, Werner
Raklev, Are
Renk, Janina J.
Rogan, Christopher
Roszkowski, Leszek
Ruiz de Austri, Roberto
Sakurai, Kazuki
Scaffidi, Andre
Scott, Pat
Sessolo, Enrico Maria
Stefaniak, Tim
Stöcker, Patrick
Su, Wei
Trojanowski, Sebastian
Trotta, Roberto
Tsai, Yue-Lin Sming
Van den Abeele, Jeriek
Valli, Mauro
Vincent, Aaron C.
Weiglein, Georg
White, Martin
Wienemann, Peter
Wu, Lei
Zhang, Yang
author_sort AbdusSalam, Shehu S.
collection CERN
description Physical theories that depend on many parameters or are tested against data from many different experiments pose unique challenges to statistical inference. Many models in particle physics, astrophysics and cosmology fall into one or both of these categories. These issues are often sidestepped with statistically unsound ad hoc methods, involving intersection of parameter intervals estimated by multiple experiments, and random or grid sampling of model parameters. Whilst these methods are easy to apply, they exhibit pathologies even in low-dimensional parameter spaces, and quickly become problematic to use and interpret in higher dimensions. In this article we give clear guidance for going beyond these procedures, suggesting where possible simple methods for performing statistically sound inference, and recommendations of readily-available software tools and standards that can assist in doing so. Our aim is to provide any physicists lacking comprehensive statistical training with recommendations for reaching correct scientific conclusions, with only a modest increase in analysis burden. Our examples can be reproduced with the code publicly available at Zenodo.
id cern-2751421
institution Organización Europea para la Investigación Nuclear
language eng
publishDate 2020
record_format invenio
spelling cern-27514212023-09-29T02:09:00Zdoi:10.1088/1361-6633/ac60achttp://cds.cern.ch/record/2751421engAbdusSalam, Shehu S.Agocs, Fruzsina J.Allanach, Benjamin C.Athron, PeterBalázs, CsabaBagnaschi, EmanueleBechtle, PhilipBuchmueller, OliverBeniwal, AnkitBhom, JihyunBloor, SanjayBringmann, TorstenBuckley, AndyButter, AnjaCamargo-Molina, José ElielChrzaszcz, MarcinConrad, JanCornell, Jonathan M.Danninger, Matthiasde Blas, JorgeDe Roeck, AlbertDesch, KlausDolan, MatthewDreiner, HerbertEberhardt, OttoEllis, JohnFarmer, BenFedele, MarcoFlächer, HenningFowlie, AndrewGonzalo, Tomás E.Grace, PhilipHamer, MatthiasHandley, WillHarz, JuliaHeinemeyer, SvenHoof, SebastianHotinli, SelimJackson, PaulKahlhoefer, FelixKowalska, KamilaKrämer, MichaelKvellestad, AndersLucio Martinez, MiriamMahmoudi, FarvahMartinez Santos, DiegoMartinez, Gregory D.Mishima, SatoshiOlive, KeithPaul, AyanPrim, Markus TobiasPorod, WernerRaklev, AreRenk, Janina J.Rogan, ChristopherRoszkowski, LeszekRuiz de Austri, RobertoSakurai, KazukiScaffidi, AndreScott, PatSessolo, Enrico MariaStefaniak, TimStöcker, PatrickSu, WeiTrojanowski, SebastianTrotta, RobertoTsai, Yue-Lin SmingVan den Abeele, JeriekValli, MauroVincent, Aaron C.Weiglein, GeorgWhite, MartinWienemann, PeterWu, LeiZhang, YangSimple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theoriesphysics.data-anOther Fields of Physicshep-exParticle Physics - Experimentastro-ph.COAstrophysics and Astronomyhep-phParticle Physics - PhenomenologyPhysical theories that depend on many parameters or are tested against data from many different experiments pose unique challenges to statistical inference. Many models in particle physics, astrophysics and cosmology fall into one or both of these categories. These issues are often sidestepped with statistically unsound ad hoc methods, involving intersection of parameter intervals estimated by multiple experiments, and random or grid sampling of model parameters. Whilst these methods are easy to apply, they exhibit pathologies even in low-dimensional parameter spaces, and quickly become problematic to use and interpret in higher dimensions. In this article we give clear guidance for going beyond these procedures, suggesting where possible simple methods for performing statistically sound inference, and recommendations of readily-available software tools and standards that can assist in doing so. Our aim is to provide any physicists lacking comprehensive statistical training with recommendations for reaching correct scientific conclusions, with only a modest increase in analysis burden. Our examples can be reproduced with the code publicly available at Zenodo.Physical theories that depend on many parameters or are tested against data from many different experiments pose unique challenges to statistical inference. Many models in particle physics, astrophysics and cosmology fall into one or both of these categories. These issues are often sidestepped with statistically unsound ad hoc methods, involving intersection of parameter intervals estimated by multiple experiments, and random or grid sampling of model parameters. Whilst these methods are easy to apply, they exhibit pathologies even in low-dimensional parameter spaces, and quickly become problematic to use and interpret in higher dimensions. In this article we give clear guidance for going beyond these procedures, suggesting where possible simple methods for performing statistically sound inference, and recommendations of readily-available software tools and standards that can assist in doing so. Our aim is to provide any physicists lacking comprehensive statistical training with recommendations for reaching correct scientific conclusions, with only a modest increase in analysis burden. Our examples can be reproduced with the code publicly available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4322283.arXiv:2012.09874PSI-PR-20-23BONN-TH-2020-11CP3-20-59KCL-PH-TH/2020-75, P3H-20-080TTP20-044TUM-HEP-1310/20IFT-UAM/CSIC-20-180TTK-20-47, CERN-TH-2020-215FTPI-MINN-20-36UMN-TH-4005/20HU-EP-20/37DESY 20-222, ADP-20-33/T1143DESY-20-222Imperial/TP/2020/RT/04UCI-TR-2020-19gambit-review-2020oai:cds.cern.ch:27514212020-12-17
spellingShingle physics.data-an
Other Fields of Physics
hep-ex
Particle Physics - Experiment
astro-ph.CO
Astrophysics and Astronomy
hep-ph
Particle Physics - Phenomenology
AbdusSalam, Shehu S.
Agocs, Fruzsina J.
Allanach, Benjamin C.
Athron, Peter
Balázs, Csaba
Bagnaschi, Emanuele
Bechtle, Philip
Buchmueller, Oliver
Beniwal, Ankit
Bhom, Jihyun
Bloor, Sanjay
Bringmann, Torsten
Buckley, Andy
Butter, Anja
Camargo-Molina, José Eliel
Chrzaszcz, Marcin
Conrad, Jan
Cornell, Jonathan M.
Danninger, Matthias
de Blas, Jorge
De Roeck, Albert
Desch, Klaus
Dolan, Matthew
Dreiner, Herbert
Eberhardt, Otto
Ellis, John
Farmer, Ben
Fedele, Marco
Flächer, Henning
Fowlie, Andrew
Gonzalo, Tomás E.
Grace, Philip
Hamer, Matthias
Handley, Will
Harz, Julia
Heinemeyer, Sven
Hoof, Sebastian
Hotinli, Selim
Jackson, Paul
Kahlhoefer, Felix
Kowalska, Kamila
Krämer, Michael
Kvellestad, Anders
Lucio Martinez, Miriam
Mahmoudi, Farvah
Martinez Santos, Diego
Martinez, Gregory D.
Mishima, Satoshi
Olive, Keith
Paul, Ayan
Prim, Markus Tobias
Porod, Werner
Raklev, Are
Renk, Janina J.
Rogan, Christopher
Roszkowski, Leszek
Ruiz de Austri, Roberto
Sakurai, Kazuki
Scaffidi, Andre
Scott, Pat
Sessolo, Enrico Maria
Stefaniak, Tim
Stöcker, Patrick
Su, Wei
Trojanowski, Sebastian
Trotta, Roberto
Tsai, Yue-Lin Sming
Van den Abeele, Jeriek
Valli, Mauro
Vincent, Aaron C.
Weiglein, Georg
White, Martin
Wienemann, Peter
Wu, Lei
Zhang, Yang
Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories
title Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories
title_full Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories
title_fullStr Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories
title_full_unstemmed Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories
title_short Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories
title_sort simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories
topic physics.data-an
Other Fields of Physics
hep-ex
Particle Physics - Experiment
astro-ph.CO
Astrophysics and Astronomy
hep-ph
Particle Physics - Phenomenology
url https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1361-6633/ac60ac
http://cds.cern.ch/record/2751421
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