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Upper Limits in the Case That Zero Events are Observed: An Intuitive Solution to the Background Dependence Puzzle

We compare the ``unified approach'' for the estimation of upper limits withan approach based on the Bayes theory, in the special case that no events areobserved. The ``unified approach'' predicts, in this case, an upper limit thatdecreases with the increase in the expected level...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Astone, P, Pizzella, G
Lenguaje:eng
Publicado: CERN 2000
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://dx.doi.org/10.5170/CERN-2000-005.199
http://cds.cern.ch/record/426482
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author Astone, P
Pizzella, G
author_facet Astone, P
Pizzella, G
author_sort Astone, P
collection CERN
description We compare the ``unified approach'' for the estimation of upper limits withan approach based on the Bayes theory, in the special case that no events areobserved. The ``unified approach'' predicts, in this case, an upper limit thatdecreases with the increase in the expected level of background. This seemsabsurd. On the other hand, the Bayesian approach leads to a result which isbackground independent. An explanation of the Bayesian result is presented,together with suggested reasons for the paradoxical result of the ``unifiedapproach''.
id cern-426482
institution Organización Europea para la Investigación Nuclear
language eng
publishDate 2000
publisher CERN
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spelling cern-4264822019-09-30T06:29:59Zdoi:10.5170/CERN-2000-005.199http://cds.cern.ch/record/426482engAstone, PPizzella, GUpper Limits in the Case That Zero Events are Observed: An Intuitive Solution to the Background Dependence PuzzleParticle Physics - ExperimentWe compare the ``unified approach'' for the estimation of upper limits withan approach based on the Bayes theory, in the special case that no events areobserved. The ``unified approach'' predicts, in this case, an upper limit thatdecreases with the increase in the expected level of background. This seemsabsurd. On the other hand, the Bayesian approach leads to a result which isbackground independent. An explanation of the Bayesian result is presented,together with suggested reasons for the paradoxical result of the ``unifiedapproach''.CERNhep-ex/0002028oai:cds.cern.ch:4264822000
spellingShingle Particle Physics - Experiment
Astone, P
Pizzella, G
Upper Limits in the Case That Zero Events are Observed: An Intuitive Solution to the Background Dependence Puzzle
title Upper Limits in the Case That Zero Events are Observed: An Intuitive Solution to the Background Dependence Puzzle
title_full Upper Limits in the Case That Zero Events are Observed: An Intuitive Solution to the Background Dependence Puzzle
title_fullStr Upper Limits in the Case That Zero Events are Observed: An Intuitive Solution to the Background Dependence Puzzle
title_full_unstemmed Upper Limits in the Case That Zero Events are Observed: An Intuitive Solution to the Background Dependence Puzzle
title_short Upper Limits in the Case That Zero Events are Observed: An Intuitive Solution to the Background Dependence Puzzle
title_sort upper limits in the case that zero events are observed: an intuitive solution to the background dependence puzzle
topic Particle Physics - Experiment
url https://dx.doi.org/10.5170/CERN-2000-005.199
http://cds.cern.ch/record/426482
work_keys_str_mv AT astonep upperlimitsinthecasethatzeroeventsareobservedanintuitivesolutiontothebackgrounddependencepuzzle
AT pizzellag upperlimitsinthecasethatzeroeventsareobservedanintuitivesolutiontothebackgrounddependencepuzzle