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Confronting classical and Bayesian confidence limits to examples

Classical confidence limits are compared to Bayesian error bounds by studying relevant examples. The performance of the two methods is investigated relative to the properties coherence, precision, bias, universality, simplicity. A proposal to define error limits in various cases is derived from the...

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Autor principal: Zech, G
Lenguaje:eng
Publicado: CERN 2000
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://dx.doi.org/10.5170/CERN-2000-005.141
http://cds.cern.ch/record/434191
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author Zech, G
author_facet Zech, G
author_sort Zech, G
collection CERN
description Classical confidence limits are compared to Bayesian error bounds by studying relevant examples. The performance of the two methods is investigated relative to the properties coherence, precision, bias, universality, simplicity. A proposal to define error limits in various cases is derived from the comparison. It is based on the likelihood function only and follows in most cases the general practice in high energy physics. Classical methods are discarded because they violate the likelihood principle, they can produce physically inconsistent results, suffer from a lack of precision and generality. Also the extreme Bayesian approach with arbitrary choice of the prior probability density or priors deduced from scaling laws is rejected.
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spelling cern-4341912019-09-30T06:29:59Zdoi:10.5170/CERN-2000-005.141http://cds.cern.ch/record/434191engZech, GConfronting classical and Bayesian confidence limits to examplesDetectors and Experimental TechniquesClassical confidence limits are compared to Bayesian error bounds by studying relevant examples. The performance of the two methods is investigated relative to the properties coherence, precision, bias, universality, simplicity. A proposal to define error limits in various cases is derived from the comparison. It is based on the likelihood function only and follows in most cases the general practice in high energy physics. Classical methods are discarded because they violate the likelihood principle, they can produce physically inconsistent results, suffer from a lack of precision and generality. Also the extreme Bayesian approach with arbitrary choice of the prior probability density or priors deduced from scaling laws is rejected.CERNhep-ex/0004011oai:cds.cern.ch:4341912000
spellingShingle Detectors and Experimental Techniques
Zech, G
Confronting classical and Bayesian confidence limits to examples
title Confronting classical and Bayesian confidence limits to examples
title_full Confronting classical and Bayesian confidence limits to examples
title_fullStr Confronting classical and Bayesian confidence limits to examples
title_full_unstemmed Confronting classical and Bayesian confidence limits to examples
title_short Confronting classical and Bayesian confidence limits to examples
title_sort confronting classical and bayesian confidence limits to examples
topic Detectors and Experimental Techniques
url https://dx.doi.org/10.5170/CERN-2000-005.141
http://cds.cern.ch/record/434191
work_keys_str_mv AT zechg confrontingclassicalandbayesianconfidencelimitstoexamples