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Likelihood ratio intervals with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties: coverage, power and combined experiments

In this note we present studies of coverage and power for confidence intervals for a Poisson process with known background calculated using the Likelihood ratio (aka Feldman & Cousins) ordering with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties in nuisance parameters. We consider both the variant where th...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Conrad, Jan, Tegenfeldt, Fredrik
Lenguaje:eng
Publicado: 2005
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://dx.doi.org/10.1142/9781860948985_0020
http://cds.cern.ch/record/904977
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author Conrad, Jan
Tegenfeldt, Fredrik
author_facet Conrad, Jan
Tegenfeldt, Fredrik
author_sort Conrad, Jan
collection CERN
description In this note we present studies of coverage and power for confidence intervals for a Poisson process with known background calculated using the Likelihood ratio (aka Feldman & Cousins) ordering with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties in nuisance parameters. We consider both the variant where the Bayesian integration is done in both the numerator and the denominator and the modification where the integration is done only in the numerator whereas in the denominator the likelihood is taken at the maximum likelihood estimate of the parameters. Furthermore we discuss how measurements can be combined in this framework and give an illustration with limits on the branching ratio of a rare B-meson decay recently presented by CDF/D0. A set of C++ classes has been developed which can be used to calculate confidence intervals for single or combining multiple experiments using the above algorithms and considering a variety of parameterizations to describe the uncertainties.
id cern-904977
institution Organización Europea para la Investigación Nuclear
language eng
publishDate 2005
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spelling cern-9049772023-03-14T20:08:20Zdoi:10.1142/9781860948985_0020http://cds.cern.ch/record/904977engConrad, JanTegenfeldt, FredrikLikelihood ratio intervals with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties: coverage, power and combined experimentsOther Fields of PhysicsIn this note we present studies of coverage and power for confidence intervals for a Poisson process with known background calculated using the Likelihood ratio (aka Feldman & Cousins) ordering with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties in nuisance parameters. We consider both the variant where the Bayesian integration is done in both the numerator and the denominator and the modification where the integration is done only in the numerator whereas in the denominator the likelihood is taken at the maximum likelihood estimate of the parameters. Furthermore we discuss how measurements can be combined in this framework and give an illustration with limits on the branching ratio of a rare B-meson decay recently presented by CDF/D0. A set of C++ classes has been developed which can be used to calculate confidence intervals for single or combining multiple experiments using the above algorithms and considering a variety of parameterizations to describe the uncertainties.physics/0511055oai:cds.cern.ch:9049772005-11-07
spellingShingle Other Fields of Physics
Conrad, Jan
Tegenfeldt, Fredrik
Likelihood ratio intervals with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties: coverage, power and combined experiments
title Likelihood ratio intervals with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties: coverage, power and combined experiments
title_full Likelihood ratio intervals with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties: coverage, power and combined experiments
title_fullStr Likelihood ratio intervals with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties: coverage, power and combined experiments
title_full_unstemmed Likelihood ratio intervals with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties: coverage, power and combined experiments
title_short Likelihood ratio intervals with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties: coverage, power and combined experiments
title_sort likelihood ratio intervals with bayesian treatment of uncertainties: coverage, power and combined experiments
topic Other Fields of Physics
url https://dx.doi.org/10.1142/9781860948985_0020
http://cds.cern.ch/record/904977
work_keys_str_mv AT conradjan likelihoodratiointervalswithbayesiantreatmentofuncertaintiescoveragepowerandcombinedexperiments
AT tegenfeldtfredrik likelihoodratiointervalswithbayesiantreatmentofuncertaintiescoveragepowerandcombinedexperiments