C-reactive protein is a predictor of severe infective complications following gastrectomy—a retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND: Post-operative complications are the main contributing factor to increased length of stay, increased cost of care and short-term mortality experienced by patients following gastrectomy. The purpose of this study was to determine the diagnostic accuracy of C-reactive protein (CRP) in predicting complications following gastrectomy. This may assist clinicians to make better informed clinical decisions in the post-operative period. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained database was performed. Sixty patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer were included. Demographic information, operative data and post-operative details such as complications, unplanned intensive care unit (ICU) admission and readmission to hospital were analysed. Complications were further analysed based on whether they were either infective or non-infective in nature. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to examine the association between CRP and post-operative morbidity. Optimum cut-offs were determined using the Youden’s index. RESULTS: From the second post-operative day (POD), CRP levels were able to predict subsequent severe infective (SI) complications following gastrectomy [area under the curve (AUC): 0.789, 95% CI : 0.636–0.941]. An optimum cut-off of 180 mg/L resulted in a sensitivity of 87.50%. The negative predictive value (NPV) at this point was 96.30%. CONCLUSIONS: CRP is a strong negative predicter of SI complications following gastrectomy. This suggests early CRP values may be useful in prompting early investigation or facilitating safer, earlier discharge from hospital. Health services may benefit by determining similar cut-offs based on their own unique patient populations.