Early complete tumor response as a survival predictor in hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving stereotactic body radiation therapy

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To evaluate the different response patterns after Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy (SBRT) and their predictive value in local control and progression of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Seventy-two HCC patients who were treated with SBRT during 2015–2020 were included in this retrospective study. The assessment was made using MRI, CT, and PET-CT. Local and systemic responses were determined according to modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST) criteria during follow up. Patients were categorized as early responders (complete response during 6 months after radiotherapy) or non-early responders (the rest of the patients). Prognostic factors were determined using multivariate logistic models. RESULTS: The median follow-up was 24.0 months (range, 7.7–74.5 months). We found that 84.7%（61/72) of patients achieved a complete response. Early responses occurred in 45 patients (45/72, 62.5%), and they had 1-, 2-, and 5- year intrahepatic outfield-free survival (OutFFS) rates of 86.2%, 80.3%, and 76.3% vs. 55.3%, 44.7%, and 33.5% in non-early responses patients, whereas the 1-, 2-, and 5- year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were 95.5%, 84.5% and 79.5% and 74.1%, 56.2% and 56.2%, respectively. The 1-, 2-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) were 97.7%, 92.1%, 79.1%, and 85.2%, 53.8%, and 40.3%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that early tumor response was an independent predictor of OutFFS, DMFS, and OS. CONCLUSIONS: Early complete tumor response within 6 months after radiotherapy predicted better intrahepatic outfield-free survival, distant metastasis-free survival, and overall survival outcomes. Confirmation is warranted for early response on SBRT to guide decision making.