Cargando…
Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series
Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on size and power. We propose a test on volatility based on the...
Autores principales: | , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer US
2023
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10019410/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37362596 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10614-023-10362-x |
_version_ | 1784908022641852416 |
---|---|
author | Barrios, Erniel B. Redondo, Paolo Victor T. |
author_facet | Barrios, Erniel B. Redondo, Paolo Victor T. |
author_sort | Barrios, Erniel B. |
collection | PubMed |
description | Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on size and power. We propose a test on volatility based on the bootstrap method for multiple time series, intended to account for possible presence of contagion effect. While the test is fairly robust to distributional assumptions, it depends on the nature of volatility. The test is correctly sized even in cases where the time series are almost nonstationary (i.e., autocorrelation coefficient [Formula: see text] ). The test is also powerful specially when the time series are stationary in mean and that volatility are contained only in fewer clusters. We illustrate the method in global stock prices data. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10019410 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Springer US |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-100194102023-03-16 Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series Barrios, Erniel B. Redondo, Paolo Victor T. Comput Econ Article Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on size and power. We propose a test on volatility based on the bootstrap method for multiple time series, intended to account for possible presence of contagion effect. While the test is fairly robust to distributional assumptions, it depends on the nature of volatility. The test is correctly sized even in cases where the time series are almost nonstationary (i.e., autocorrelation coefficient [Formula: see text] ). The test is also powerful specially when the time series are stationary in mean and that volatility are contained only in fewer clusters. We illustrate the method in global stock prices data. Springer US 2023-03-16 /pmc/articles/PMC10019410/ /pubmed/37362596 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10614-023-10362-x Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Article Barrios, Erniel B. Redondo, Paolo Victor T. Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series |
title | Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series |
title_full | Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series |
title_fullStr | Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series |
title_full_unstemmed | Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series |
title_short | Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series |
title_sort | nonparametric test for volatility in clustered multiple time series |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10019410/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37362596 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10614-023-10362-x |
work_keys_str_mv | AT barriosernielb nonparametrictestforvolatilityinclusteredmultipletimeseries AT redondopaolovictort nonparametrictestforvolatilityinclusteredmultipletimeseries |