Cargando…

Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series

Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on size and power. We propose a test on volatility based on the...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Barrios, Erniel B., Redondo, Paolo Victor T.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10019410/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37362596
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10614-023-10362-x
_version_ 1784908022641852416
author Barrios, Erniel B.
Redondo, Paolo Victor T.
author_facet Barrios, Erniel B.
Redondo, Paolo Victor T.
author_sort Barrios, Erniel B.
collection PubMed
description Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on size and power. We propose a test on volatility based on the bootstrap method for multiple time series, intended to account for possible presence of contagion effect. While the test is fairly robust to distributional assumptions, it depends on the nature of volatility. The test is correctly sized even in cases where the time series are almost nonstationary (i.e., autocorrelation coefficient [Formula: see text] ). The test is also powerful specially when the time series are stationary in mean and that volatility are contained only in fewer clusters. We illustrate the method in global stock prices data.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-10019410
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2023
publisher Springer US
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-100194102023-03-16 Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series Barrios, Erniel B. Redondo, Paolo Victor T. Comput Econ Article Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on size and power. We propose a test on volatility based on the bootstrap method for multiple time series, intended to account for possible presence of contagion effect. While the test is fairly robust to distributional assumptions, it depends on the nature of volatility. The test is correctly sized even in cases where the time series are almost nonstationary (i.e., autocorrelation coefficient [Formula: see text] ). The test is also powerful specially when the time series are stationary in mean and that volatility are contained only in fewer clusters. We illustrate the method in global stock prices data. Springer US 2023-03-16 /pmc/articles/PMC10019410/ /pubmed/37362596 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10614-023-10362-x Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Barrios, Erniel B.
Redondo, Paolo Victor T.
Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series
title Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series
title_full Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series
title_fullStr Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series
title_full_unstemmed Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series
title_short Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series
title_sort nonparametric test for volatility in clustered multiple time series
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10019410/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37362596
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10614-023-10362-x
work_keys_str_mv AT barriosernielb nonparametrictestforvolatilityinclusteredmultipletimeseries
AT redondopaolovictort nonparametrictestforvolatilityinclusteredmultipletimeseries