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Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets
In contrast with robust systems that resist noise or fragile systems that break with noise, antifragility is defined as a property of complex systems that benefit from noise or disorder. Here we define and test a simple measure of antifragility for complex dynamical systems. In this work we use our...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10019607/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36928831 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280487 |
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author | Alatorre, Darío Gershenson, Carlos Mateos, José L. |
author_facet | Alatorre, Darío Gershenson, Carlos Mateos, José L. |
author_sort | Alatorre, Darío |
collection | PubMed |
description | In contrast with robust systems that resist noise or fragile systems that break with noise, antifragility is defined as a property of complex systems that benefit from noise or disorder. Here we define and test a simple measure of antifragility for complex dynamical systems. In this work we use our antifragility measure to analyze real data from return prices in the stock and cryptocurrency markets. Our definition of antifragility is the product of the return price and a perturbation. We explore different types of perturbations that typically arise from within the system. Our results suggest that for both the stock market and the cryptocurrency market, the tendency among the ‘top performers’ is to be robust rather than antifragile. It would be important to explore other possible definitions of antifragility to understand its role in financial markets and in complex dynamical systems in general. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10019607 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-100196072023-03-17 Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets Alatorre, Darío Gershenson, Carlos Mateos, José L. PLoS One Research Article In contrast with robust systems that resist noise or fragile systems that break with noise, antifragility is defined as a property of complex systems that benefit from noise or disorder. Here we define and test a simple measure of antifragility for complex dynamical systems. In this work we use our antifragility measure to analyze real data from return prices in the stock and cryptocurrency markets. Our definition of antifragility is the product of the return price and a perturbation. We explore different types of perturbations that typically arise from within the system. Our results suggest that for both the stock market and the cryptocurrency market, the tendency among the ‘top performers’ is to be robust rather than antifragile. It would be important to explore other possible definitions of antifragility to understand its role in financial markets and in complex dynamical systems in general. Public Library of Science 2023-03-16 /pmc/articles/PMC10019607/ /pubmed/36928831 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280487 Text en © 2023 Alatorre et al https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Alatorre, Darío Gershenson, Carlos Mateos, José L. Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets |
title | Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets |
title_full | Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets |
title_fullStr | Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets |
title_full_unstemmed | Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets |
title_short | Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets |
title_sort | stocks and cryptocurrencies: antifragile or robust? a novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10019607/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36928831 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280487 |
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