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Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets

In contrast with robust systems that resist noise or fragile systems that break with noise, antifragility is defined as a property of complex systems that benefit from noise or disorder. Here we define and test a simple measure of antifragility for complex dynamical systems. In this work we use our...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Alatorre, Darío, Gershenson, Carlos, Mateos, José L.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10019607/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36928831
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280487
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author Alatorre, Darío
Gershenson, Carlos
Mateos, José L.
author_facet Alatorre, Darío
Gershenson, Carlos
Mateos, José L.
author_sort Alatorre, Darío
collection PubMed
description In contrast with robust systems that resist noise or fragile systems that break with noise, antifragility is defined as a property of complex systems that benefit from noise or disorder. Here we define and test a simple measure of antifragility for complex dynamical systems. In this work we use our antifragility measure to analyze real data from return prices in the stock and cryptocurrency markets. Our definition of antifragility is the product of the return price and a perturbation. We explore different types of perturbations that typically arise from within the system. Our results suggest that for both the stock market and the cryptocurrency market, the tendency among the ‘top performers’ is to be robust rather than antifragile. It would be important to explore other possible definitions of antifragility to understand its role in financial markets and in complex dynamical systems in general.
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spelling pubmed-100196072023-03-17 Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets Alatorre, Darío Gershenson, Carlos Mateos, José L. PLoS One Research Article In contrast with robust systems that resist noise or fragile systems that break with noise, antifragility is defined as a property of complex systems that benefit from noise or disorder. Here we define and test a simple measure of antifragility for complex dynamical systems. In this work we use our antifragility measure to analyze real data from return prices in the stock and cryptocurrency markets. Our definition of antifragility is the product of the return price and a perturbation. We explore different types of perturbations that typically arise from within the system. Our results suggest that for both the stock market and the cryptocurrency market, the tendency among the ‘top performers’ is to be robust rather than antifragile. It would be important to explore other possible definitions of antifragility to understand its role in financial markets and in complex dynamical systems in general. Public Library of Science 2023-03-16 /pmc/articles/PMC10019607/ /pubmed/36928831 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280487 Text en © 2023 Alatorre et al https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Alatorre, Darío
Gershenson, Carlos
Mateos, José L.
Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets
title Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets
title_full Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets
title_fullStr Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets
title_full_unstemmed Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets
title_short Stocks and cryptocurrencies: Antifragile or robust? A novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets
title_sort stocks and cryptocurrencies: antifragile or robust? a novel antifragility measure of the stock and cryptocurrency markets
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10019607/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36928831
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280487
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