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Tracking district-level performance in the context of achieving zero indigenous case status by 2027

India has committed to zero indigenous malaria cases by 2027 and elimination by 2030. Of 28 states and 8 union territories of India, eleven states were targeted to reach the elimination phase by 2020. However, state-level epidemiology indicates that several states of India may not be on the optimum...

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Autores principales: Yadav, Chander Prakash, Hussain, Syed Shah Areeb, Gupta, Sanjeev, Bharti, Praveen K., Rahi, Manju, Sharma, Amit
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10021673/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36962890
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001292
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author Yadav, Chander Prakash
Hussain, Syed Shah Areeb
Gupta, Sanjeev
Bharti, Praveen K.
Rahi, Manju
Sharma, Amit
author_facet Yadav, Chander Prakash
Hussain, Syed Shah Areeb
Gupta, Sanjeev
Bharti, Praveen K.
Rahi, Manju
Sharma, Amit
author_sort Yadav, Chander Prakash
collection PubMed
description India has committed to zero indigenous malaria cases by 2027 and elimination by 2030. Of 28 states and 8 union territories of India, eleven states were targeted to reach the elimination phase by 2020. However, state-level epidemiology indicates that several states of India may not be on the optimum track, and few goals set in National Framework for Malaria Elimination (NFME) for 2020 remain to be addressed. Therefore, tracking the current progress of malaria elimination in India at the district level, and identifying districts that are off track is important in understanding possible shortfalls to malaria elimination. Annual malaria case data from 2017–20 of 686 districts of India were obtained from the National Center for Vector-Borne Diseases Control (NCVBDC) and analysed to evaluate the performance of districts to achieve zero case status by 2027. A district’s performance was evaluated by calculating the annual percentage change in the total number of malaria cases for the years 2018, 2019 and 2020 considering the previous year as a base year. The mean, median and maximum of these annual changes were then used to project the number of malaria cases in 2027. Based on these, districts were classified into four groups: 1) districts that are expected to reach zero case status by 2027, 2) districts that would achieve zero case status between 2028 and 2030, 3) districts that would arrive at zero case status after 2030, and 4) districts where malaria cases are on the rise. Analysis suggest, a cohort of fifteen districts require urgent modification or improvement in their malaria control strategies by identifying foci of infection and customizing interventions. They may also require new interventional tools that are being developed recently so that malaria case reduction over the years may be increased.
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spelling pubmed-100216732023-03-17 Tracking district-level performance in the context of achieving zero indigenous case status by 2027 Yadav, Chander Prakash Hussain, Syed Shah Areeb Gupta, Sanjeev Bharti, Praveen K. Rahi, Manju Sharma, Amit PLOS Glob Public Health Research Article India has committed to zero indigenous malaria cases by 2027 and elimination by 2030. Of 28 states and 8 union territories of India, eleven states were targeted to reach the elimination phase by 2020. However, state-level epidemiology indicates that several states of India may not be on the optimum track, and few goals set in National Framework for Malaria Elimination (NFME) for 2020 remain to be addressed. Therefore, tracking the current progress of malaria elimination in India at the district level, and identifying districts that are off track is important in understanding possible shortfalls to malaria elimination. Annual malaria case data from 2017–20 of 686 districts of India were obtained from the National Center for Vector-Borne Diseases Control (NCVBDC) and analysed to evaluate the performance of districts to achieve zero case status by 2027. A district’s performance was evaluated by calculating the annual percentage change in the total number of malaria cases for the years 2018, 2019 and 2020 considering the previous year as a base year. The mean, median and maximum of these annual changes were then used to project the number of malaria cases in 2027. Based on these, districts were classified into four groups: 1) districts that are expected to reach zero case status by 2027, 2) districts that would achieve zero case status between 2028 and 2030, 3) districts that would arrive at zero case status after 2030, and 4) districts where malaria cases are on the rise. Analysis suggest, a cohort of fifteen districts require urgent modification or improvement in their malaria control strategies by identifying foci of infection and customizing interventions. They may also require new interventional tools that are being developed recently so that malaria case reduction over the years may be increased. Public Library of Science 2023-01-06 /pmc/articles/PMC10021673/ /pubmed/36962890 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001292 Text en © 2023 Yadav et al https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Yadav, Chander Prakash
Hussain, Syed Shah Areeb
Gupta, Sanjeev
Bharti, Praveen K.
Rahi, Manju
Sharma, Amit
Tracking district-level performance in the context of achieving zero indigenous case status by 2027
title Tracking district-level performance in the context of achieving zero indigenous case status by 2027
title_full Tracking district-level performance in the context of achieving zero indigenous case status by 2027
title_fullStr Tracking district-level performance in the context of achieving zero indigenous case status by 2027
title_full_unstemmed Tracking district-level performance in the context of achieving zero indigenous case status by 2027
title_short Tracking district-level performance in the context of achieving zero indigenous case status by 2027
title_sort tracking district-level performance in the context of achieving zero indigenous case status by 2027
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10021673/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36962890
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001292
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