Clinical and epidemiological correlates of treatment change in patients with NMOSD: insights from the CIRCLES cohort

OBJECTIVE: Neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders (NMOSD) represent rare autoimmune diseases of the central nervous system largely targeting optic nerve(s) and spinal cord. The present analysis used real-world data to identify clinical and epidemiological correlates of treatment change in patients with NMOSD. METHODS: CIRCLES is a longitudinal, observational study of NMOSD conducted at 15 centers across North America. Patients with ≥ 60 days of follow-up and receiving on-study maintenance treatment were evaluated. The mean annual relapse rate (ARR) was estimated using negative binomial models; the likelihood of treatment change was estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Relapses were included as time-varying covariates to estimate the relationship to treatment change. RESULTS: Of 542 patients included, 171 (31.5%) experienced ≥ 1 relapse on the study and 133 patients (24.5%) had ≥ 1 change in the treatment regimen. Two categories of variables significantly correlated with the likelihood of treatment change: (1) relapse: any on-study relapse (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.91; p < 0.001), relapse phenotypes (HR range = 2.15–5.49; p < 0.001), and pre-study ARR > 0.75 (HR 2.28; p < 0.001); 2) disease phenotype: brain syndrome only vs transverse myelitis involvement at onset (HR 2.44; p = 0.008), disease duration < 1 vs > 5 years (HR 1.66; p = 0.028), or autoimmune comorbidity (HR 1.55; p = 0.015). A subset of these factors significantly correlated with shorter time to first rituximab discontinuation. CONCLUSIONS: In CIRCLES, relapse patterns and disease phenotype significantly correlated with changes in the maintenance treatment regimen. Such findings may facilitate the identification of patients with NMOSD who are likely to benefit from treatment change to reduce relapse risk or disease burden and enhance the quality of life. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00415-022-11529-6.