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Differential Neural Networks Prediction Using Slow and Fast Hybrid Learning: Application to Prognosis of Infectionsand Deaths of COVID-19 Dynamics

This essay discusses a potential method for predicting the behavior of various physical processes and uses the COVID-19 outbreak to demonstrate its applicability. This study assumes that the current data set reflects the output of a dynamic system that is governed by a nonlinear ordinary differentia...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Poznyak, A., Chairez, I., Anyutin, A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10035488/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37359130
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11063-023-11216-1
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author Poznyak, A.
Chairez, I.
Anyutin, A.
author_facet Poznyak, A.
Chairez, I.
Anyutin, A.
author_sort Poznyak, A.
collection PubMed
description This essay discusses a potential method for predicting the behavior of various physical processes and uses the COVID-19 outbreak to demonstrate its applicability. This study assumes that the current data set reflects the output of a dynamic system that is governed by a nonlinear ordinary differential equation. This dynamic system may be described by a Differential Neural Network (DNN) with time-varying weights matrix parameters. A new hybrid learning scheme based on the decomposition of the signal to be predicted. The decomposition considers the slow and fast components of the signal which is more natural to signals such as the ones corresponding to the number of infected and deceased patients who suffered of COVID 2019 sickness. The paper results demonstrate the recommended method offers competitive performance (70 days of COVID prediction) in comparison to similar studies.
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spelling pubmed-100354882023-03-23 Differential Neural Networks Prediction Using Slow and Fast Hybrid Learning: Application to Prognosis of Infectionsand Deaths of COVID-19 Dynamics Poznyak, A. Chairez, I. Anyutin, A. Neural Process Lett Article This essay discusses a potential method for predicting the behavior of various physical processes and uses the COVID-19 outbreak to demonstrate its applicability. This study assumes that the current data set reflects the output of a dynamic system that is governed by a nonlinear ordinary differential equation. This dynamic system may be described by a Differential Neural Network (DNN) with time-varying weights matrix parameters. A new hybrid learning scheme based on the decomposition of the signal to be predicted. The decomposition considers the slow and fast components of the signal which is more natural to signals such as the ones corresponding to the number of infected and deceased patients who suffered of COVID 2019 sickness. The paper results demonstrate the recommended method offers competitive performance (70 days of COVID prediction) in comparison to similar studies. Springer US 2023-03-23 /pmc/articles/PMC10035488/ /pubmed/37359130 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11063-023-11216-1 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2023, Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Poznyak, A.
Chairez, I.
Anyutin, A.
Differential Neural Networks Prediction Using Slow and Fast Hybrid Learning: Application to Prognosis of Infectionsand Deaths of COVID-19 Dynamics
title Differential Neural Networks Prediction Using Slow and Fast Hybrid Learning: Application to Prognosis of Infectionsand Deaths of COVID-19 Dynamics
title_full Differential Neural Networks Prediction Using Slow and Fast Hybrid Learning: Application to Prognosis of Infectionsand Deaths of COVID-19 Dynamics
title_fullStr Differential Neural Networks Prediction Using Slow and Fast Hybrid Learning: Application to Prognosis of Infectionsand Deaths of COVID-19 Dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Differential Neural Networks Prediction Using Slow and Fast Hybrid Learning: Application to Prognosis of Infectionsand Deaths of COVID-19 Dynamics
title_short Differential Neural Networks Prediction Using Slow and Fast Hybrid Learning: Application to Prognosis of Infectionsand Deaths of COVID-19 Dynamics
title_sort differential neural networks prediction using slow and fast hybrid learning: application to prognosis of infectionsand deaths of covid-19 dynamics
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10035488/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37359130
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11063-023-11216-1
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