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Stochastic analysis of a COVID-19 model with effects of vaccination and different transition rates: Real data approach
This paper presents a stochastic model for COVID-19 that takes into account factors such as incubation times, vaccine effectiveness, and quarantine periods in the spread of the virus in symptomatically contagious populations. The paper outlines the conditions necessary for the existence and uniquene...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier Ltd.
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10040364/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37009628 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113395 |
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author | Xu, Changjin Liu, Zixin Pang, Yicheng Akgül, Ali |
author_facet | Xu, Changjin Liu, Zixin Pang, Yicheng Akgül, Ali |
author_sort | Xu, Changjin |
collection | PubMed |
description | This paper presents a stochastic model for COVID-19 that takes into account factors such as incubation times, vaccine effectiveness, and quarantine periods in the spread of the virus in symptomatically contagious populations. The paper outlines the conditions necessary for the existence and uniqueness of a global solution for the stochastic model. Additionally, the paper employs nonlinear analysis to demonstrate some results on the ergodic aspect of the stochastic model. The model is also simulated and compared to deterministic dynamics. To validate and demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed system, the paper compares the results of the infected class with actual cases from Iraq, Bangladesh, and Croatia. Furthermore, the paper visualizes the impact of vaccination rates and transition rates on the dynamics of infected people in the infected class. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10040364 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Elsevier Ltd. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-100403642023-03-27 Stochastic analysis of a COVID-19 model with effects of vaccination and different transition rates: Real data approach Xu, Changjin Liu, Zixin Pang, Yicheng Akgül, Ali Chaos Solitons Fractals Article This paper presents a stochastic model for COVID-19 that takes into account factors such as incubation times, vaccine effectiveness, and quarantine periods in the spread of the virus in symptomatically contagious populations. The paper outlines the conditions necessary for the existence and uniqueness of a global solution for the stochastic model. Additionally, the paper employs nonlinear analysis to demonstrate some results on the ergodic aspect of the stochastic model. The model is also simulated and compared to deterministic dynamics. To validate and demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed system, the paper compares the results of the infected class with actual cases from Iraq, Bangladesh, and Croatia. Furthermore, the paper visualizes the impact of vaccination rates and transition rates on the dynamics of infected people in the infected class. Elsevier Ltd. 2023-05 2023-03-27 /pmc/articles/PMC10040364/ /pubmed/37009628 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113395 Text en © 2023 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Xu, Changjin Liu, Zixin Pang, Yicheng Akgül, Ali Stochastic analysis of a COVID-19 model with effects of vaccination and different transition rates: Real data approach |
title | Stochastic analysis of a COVID-19 model with effects of vaccination and different transition rates: Real data approach |
title_full | Stochastic analysis of a COVID-19 model with effects of vaccination and different transition rates: Real data approach |
title_fullStr | Stochastic analysis of a COVID-19 model with effects of vaccination and different transition rates: Real data approach |
title_full_unstemmed | Stochastic analysis of a COVID-19 model with effects of vaccination and different transition rates: Real data approach |
title_short | Stochastic analysis of a COVID-19 model with effects of vaccination and different transition rates: Real data approach |
title_sort | stochastic analysis of a covid-19 model with effects of vaccination and different transition rates: real data approach |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10040364/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37009628 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113395 |
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