Relationship between preoperative red blood cell distribution width and postoperative pneumonia in elderly patients with hip fracture: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE: The relationship between the preoperative red blood cell distribution width and postoperative pneumonia in elderly patients with hip fractures remains unclear. This study investigated whether the preoperative red blood cell distribution width was associated with postoperative pneumonia in elderly patients with hip fractures. METHODS: Clinical data of patients with hip fractures in the Department of orthopedics of a hospital from January 2012 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. A generalized additive model was used to identify both linear and nonlinear relationships between red blood cell distribution width and postoperative pneumonia. A two-piecewise linear regression model was used to calculate the saturation effect. Subgroup analyses were performed using stratified logistic regression. RESULTS: This study included a total of 1444 patients. The incidence of postoperative pneumonia was 6.30% (91/1444), the mean age of the patients was 77.55 ± 8.75 years, and 73.06% of them (1055/1444) were female. After full adjustment for covariates, the preoperative red blood cell distribution width showed a nonlinear relationship with postoperative pneumonia. The two-piecewise regression model showed an inflection point at 14.3%. On the left side of the inflection point, the incidence of postoperative pneumonia increased by 61% for every 1% increase in red blood cell distribution width (OR: 1.61, 95% CI 1.13–2.31, P = 0.0089). The effect size was not statistically significant on the right side of the inflection point (OR: 0.83, 95% CI 0.61–1.12, P = 0.2171). CONCLUSION: The relationship between preoperative red blood cell distribution width and incidence or postoperative pneumonia was nonlinear in elderly patients with hip fractures. The incidence of postoperative pneumonia was positively correlated with red blood cell distribution width when it was < 14.3%. A saturation effect was observed when the red blood cell distribution width reached 14.3%.