Exploratory Study of Associations and Agreement between Prognostic Patient-Registered Factors, Physiotherapists’ Intuitive Synthesis, and Patient-Reported Factors in Whiplash-Associated Disorders

Background: A large proportion of people who sustain a whiplash injury will have persistent pain, disability, and participation problems. Several prognostic factors for functional recovery have been reported in the literature but these factors are often evaluated based on differing implementations in clinical practice. Additionally, physiotherapists also rely on their clinical intuition to estimate the functional prognosis of their patients, but this is seldom measured in experimental research. Furthermore, no study to date has explored the associations between clinical intuition, clinically estimated factors, and objectively measured factors for functional recovery of patients with Whiplash-Associated Disorders (WAD). Aim: The aim of this exploratory study is to evaluate associations between prognostic factors for functional recovery, based on routinely collected data in a specialized primary care physiotherapy practice in a consecutive sample of patients (n = 523) with WAD. Methods: Three sources of prognostic factors were selected: (1) physiotherapists’ synthesis of clinical intuition in terms of high-risk, inconclusive risk, or low-risk for functional recovery, (2) patient-registered factors from history taking, and (3) patient-reported prognostic factors derived from questionnaires. Prognostic factors were selected based on the literature, recommendations in Dutch clinical practice guidelines, and consensus between experts. Spearman’s rank correlation coefficients were calculated to explore the associations between sources of prognostic factors, using a cutoff ≥0.25 for acceptable association. Results: Associations between physiotherapists’ intuitive synthesis and patient-registered variables were substantial (r(s) = 0.86), between patient-registered variables and patient-reported variables fair (ranging from 0.30 to 0.41) to substantial (ranging from 0.69 to 0.73), and between physiotherapists intuitive synthesis and patient-reported variables fair (ranging from 0.30 to 0.37). Conclusion: When estimating prognosis for functional recovery using clinical reasoning, physiotherapists should integrate patients’ registered experience of their course of recovery, as well as the timeline after an accident, with their own synthesis of clinical intuition regarding prognostic factors in patients with WAD.