Excess mortality and associated factors among people living with HIV initiating highly active antiretroviral therapy in Luzhou, China 2006–2020

BACKGROUND: To estimate crude mortality, excess mortality, and standardized mortality rates (SMR) among people living with HIV (PLHIV) initiating highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in Luzhou, China 2006–2020, and assess associated factors. METHODS: PLHIV initiating HAART in the HIV/AIDS Comprehensive Response Information Management System (CRIMS) in Luzhou, China 2006–2020 were included in the retrospective cohort study. The crude mortality, excess mortality, and SMR were estimated. Multivariable Poisson regression model was used for analyzing risk factors associated with excess mortality rates. RESULTS: The median age among 11,468 PLHIV initiating HAART was 54.5 years (IQR:43.1–65.2). The excess mortality rate decreased from 1.8 deaths/100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI]:1.4–2.4) in 2006–2011 to 0.8 deaths/100 person-years (95%CI:0.7–0.9) in 2016–2020. SMR decreased from 5.4 deaths/100 person-years (95%CI:4.3–6.8) to 1.7 deaths/100 person-years (95%CI:1.5–1.8). Males had greater excess mortality with the eHR of 1.6 (95%CI:1.2–2.1) than females. PLHIV with CD4 counts ≥ 500 cells/μL had the eHR of 0.3 (95%CI:0.2–0.5) in comparison to those with CD4 counts < 200 cells/μL. PLHIV with WHO clinical stages III/IV had greater excess mortality with the eHR of 1.4 (95%CI:1.1–1.8). PLHIV with time from diagnosis to HAART initiation ≤ 3 months had the eHR of 0.7 (95%CI:0.5–0.9) compared to those with time ≥ 12 months. PLHIV with initial HAART regimens unchanged and viral suppression had the eHR of 1.9 (95%CI:1.4–2.6) and 0.1 (95%CI:0.0–0.1), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The excess mortality and SMR among PLHIV initiating HAART in Luzhou, China decreased substantially from 2006 to 2020, but the mortality rate among PLHIV was still higher than general population. PLHIV who were male, with baseline CD4 counts less than 200 cells/μL, WHO clinical stages III/IV, time from diagnosis to HAART initiation ≥ 12 months, initial HAART regimens unchanged, and virological failure had a greater risk of excess deaths. Early and efficient HAART would be significant in reducing excess mortality among PLHIV.