Potential predictive value of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) mutations for the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors in advanced triple-negative breast cancer

Background: In recent years, tumor immunotherapy has become a viable treatment option for triple negative breast cancer (TNBC). Among these, immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have demonstrated good efficacy in advanced TNBC patients with programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) positive expression. However, only 63% of PD-L1-positive individuals showed any benefit from ICIs. Therefore, finding new predictive biomarkers will aid in identifying patients who are likely to benefit from ICIs. In this study, we used liquid biopsies and next-generation sequencing (NGS) to dynamically detect changes in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in the blood of patients with advanced TNBC treated with ICIs and focused on its potential predictive value. Methods: From May 2018 to October 2020, patients with advanced TNBC treated with ICIs at Shandong Cancer Hospital were included prospectively. Patient blood samples were obtained at the pretreatment baseline, first response evaluation, and disease progression timepoints. Furthermore, 457 cancer-related genes were evaluated by NGS, and patients’ ctDNA mutations, gene mutation rates, and other indicators were determined and coupled with clinical data for statistical analysis. Results: A total of 11 TNBC patients were included in this study. The overall objective response rate (ORR) was 27.3%, with a 6.1-month median progression-free survival (PFS) (95% confidence interval: 3.877–8.323 months). Of the 11 baseline blood samples, 48 mutations were found, with the most common mutation types being frame shift indels, synonymous single-nucleotide variations (SNVs), frame indel missenses, splicing, and stop gains. Additionally, univariate Cox regression analysis revealed that advanced TNBC patients with one of 12 mutant genes (CYP2D6 deletion and GNAS, BCL2L1, H3F3C, LAG3, FGF23, CCND2, SESN1, SNHG16, MYC, HLA-E, and MCL1 gain) had a shorter PFS with ICI treatment (p < 0.05). To some extent, dynamic changes of ctDNA might indicate the efficacy of ICIs. Conclusion: Our data indicate that ICI efficacy in patients with advanced TNBC may be predicted by 12 mutant ctDNA genes. Additionally, dynamic alterations in peripheral blood ctDNA might be used to track the effectiveness of ICI therapy in those with advanced TNBC.