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Age and market capitalization drive large price variations of cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrencies are considered the latest innovation in finance with considerable impact across social, technological, and economic dimensions. This new class of financial assets has also motivated a myriad of scientific investigations focused on understanding their statistical properties, such as...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Pessa, Arthur A. B., Perc, Matjaž, Ribeiro, Haroldo V.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10063656/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36997547
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30431-3
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author Pessa, Arthur A. B.
Perc, Matjaž
Ribeiro, Haroldo V.
author_facet Pessa, Arthur A. B.
Perc, Matjaž
Ribeiro, Haroldo V.
author_sort Pessa, Arthur A. B.
collection PubMed
description Cryptocurrencies are considered the latest innovation in finance with considerable impact across social, technological, and economic dimensions. This new class of financial assets has also motivated a myriad of scientific investigations focused on understanding their statistical properties, such as the distribution of price returns. However, research so far has only considered Bitcoin or at most a few cryptocurrencies, whilst ignoring that price returns might depend on cryptocurrency age or be influenced by market capitalization. Here, we therefore present a comprehensive investigation of large price variations for more than seven thousand digital currencies and explore whether price returns change with the coming-of-age and growth of the cryptocurrency market. We find that tail distributions of price returns follow power-law functions over the entire history of the considered cryptocurrency portfolio, with typical exponents implying the absence of characteristic scales for price variations in about half of them. Moreover, these tail distributions are asymmetric as positive returns more often display smaller exponents, indicating that large positive price variations are more likely than negative ones. Our results further reveal that changes in the tail exponents are very often simultaneously related to cryptocurrency age and market capitalization or only to age, with only a minority of cryptoassets being affected just by market capitalization or neither of the two quantities. Lastly, we find that the trends in power-law exponents usually point to mixed directions, and that large price variations are likely to become less frequent only in about 28% of the cryptocurrencies as they age and grow in market capitalization.
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spelling pubmed-100636562023-04-01 Age and market capitalization drive large price variations of cryptocurrencies Pessa, Arthur A. B. Perc, Matjaž Ribeiro, Haroldo V. Sci Rep Article Cryptocurrencies are considered the latest innovation in finance with considerable impact across social, technological, and economic dimensions. This new class of financial assets has also motivated a myriad of scientific investigations focused on understanding their statistical properties, such as the distribution of price returns. However, research so far has only considered Bitcoin or at most a few cryptocurrencies, whilst ignoring that price returns might depend on cryptocurrency age or be influenced by market capitalization. Here, we therefore present a comprehensive investigation of large price variations for more than seven thousand digital currencies and explore whether price returns change with the coming-of-age and growth of the cryptocurrency market. We find that tail distributions of price returns follow power-law functions over the entire history of the considered cryptocurrency portfolio, with typical exponents implying the absence of characteristic scales for price variations in about half of them. Moreover, these tail distributions are asymmetric as positive returns more often display smaller exponents, indicating that large positive price variations are more likely than negative ones. Our results further reveal that changes in the tail exponents are very often simultaneously related to cryptocurrency age and market capitalization or only to age, with only a minority of cryptoassets being affected just by market capitalization or neither of the two quantities. Lastly, we find that the trends in power-law exponents usually point to mixed directions, and that large price variations are likely to become less frequent only in about 28% of the cryptocurrencies as they age and grow in market capitalization. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-03-30 /pmc/articles/PMC10063656/ /pubmed/36997547 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30431-3 Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Pessa, Arthur A. B.
Perc, Matjaž
Ribeiro, Haroldo V.
Age and market capitalization drive large price variations of cryptocurrencies
title Age and market capitalization drive large price variations of cryptocurrencies
title_full Age and market capitalization drive large price variations of cryptocurrencies
title_fullStr Age and market capitalization drive large price variations of cryptocurrencies
title_full_unstemmed Age and market capitalization drive large price variations of cryptocurrencies
title_short Age and market capitalization drive large price variations of cryptocurrencies
title_sort age and market capitalization drive large price variations of cryptocurrencies
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10063656/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36997547
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30431-3
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