Effect of serum progesterone on human chorionic gonadotropin trigger day / metaphase II oocyte ratio on pregnancy and neonatal outcomes in women undergoing ICSI cycle

BACKGROUND: The serum progesterone on human chorionic gonadotropin trigger day / metaphase II oocyte (P/MII) ratio might be a more predictable indicator of pregnancy and neonatal outcomes as compare to P/estradiol (E2) or P alone. Hence, we conducted a larger population study to compare the pregnancy and neonatal outcomes in the low and high P/MII ratio. METHODS: A retrospective, single-center, larger population cohort study between January 2015 and August 2021. Calculate the threshold effect of P/MII ratio on clinical pregnancy rate according to the construct smooth curve fitting. Divide data into two groups by threshold for comparison. RESULTS: 3566 fresh ICSI-ET cycles were included, in which 929 singleton delivery and 676 twin deliveries. Compare to P/MII ≤ 0.367 group, it indicated that the P/MII > 0.367 group had a lower clinical pregnancy rate and live birth rate, furthermore, a significantly higher rate of LBW and SGA were observed in the singleton and twin deliveries. No deleterious impact of high P/MII ratio on embryo quality and undesirable pregnancy outcomes was shown. CONCLUSIONS: When P/MII is higher than 0.367, may have adverse impacts on pregnancy and neonatal outcomes for ICSI cycle.