Cumulative muscle mass and blood pressure but not fat mass drives arterial stiffness and carotid intima-media thickness progression in the young population and is unrelated to vascular organ damage

We examined the longitudinal associations of fat mass, lean mass, and blood pressure (BP) from childhood through young adulthood with changes in carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV), a measure of arterial stiffness, and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT). We included 3863 participants from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children birth cohort. Fat mass and lean mass, measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, and BP were measured at ages 9, 17 and 24 years and classified into low, moderate, and high tertiles. cfPWV and cIMT were measured at 17 and 24 years of age. Associations were examined via linear mixed effect models and adjusted for cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors. Among 1720 [44.5%] male and 2143 [55.5%] female participants, cumulative high exposures to lean mass (effect estimate 0.006 m/s [95% CI 0.001 to 0.010; p = 0.022]), systolic BP (0.013 m/s [0.009 to 0.017; p < 0.0001]) and diastolic BP (0.023 m/s [0.019 to 0.027; p < 0.0001]) from 9–24 years of age were positively associated with the 7-year increase in cfPWV. Persistent high exposures to lean mass (0.012 mm; [0.008 to 0.016; p < 0.0001]), body mass index (0.007 mm [0.003 to 0.011; p = 0.001]), and systolic BP (0.010 mm; [0.006 to 0.014; p < 0.0001]) from ages 9–24 years were positively associated with thicker cIMT at 17–24 years of age. Total fat and trunk fat mass from childhood had no association with cfPWV or cIMT progression. In conclusion, increased lean mass and BP but not fat mass from childhood drives arterial remodeling in young adulthood.