The potential clinical utility of cell-free DNA for gastric cancer patients treated with nivolumab monotherapy

To assess the potential clinical utility of cell-free DNA (cfDNA)-based biomarkers for identifying gastric cancer (GC) patients who benefit from nivolumab. From 31 GC patients treated with nivolumab monotherapy (240 mg/body, Bi-weekly) in 3rd or later line setting, we prospectively collected blood samples at baseline and before the 3rd dose. We compared cfDNA-based molecular findings, including microsatellite instability (MSI) status, to tissue-based biomarkers. We assessed the clinical value of blood tumor mutation burden (bTMB) and copy number alterations (CNA) as well as the cfDNA dynamics. The concordance between deficient-MMR and cfDNA-based MSI-high was 100% (3/3). Patients with bTMB ≥ 6 mut/Mb had significantly better progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS); however, such significance disappeared when excluding MSI-High cases. The combination of bTMB and CNA positivity identified patients with survival benefit regardless of MSI status (both PFS and OS, P < 0.001), with the best survival in those with bTMB(≥6mut/Mb) and CNA(negative). Moreover, patients with decreased bTMB during treatment had a better disease control rate (P = 0.04) and longer PFS (P = 0.04). Our results suggest that a combination of bTMB and CNA may predict nivolumab efficacy for GC patients regardless of MSI status. bTMB dynamics have a potential utility as an on-treatment biomarker.