Early metabolic derangements and unfavorable outcomes in pediatric traumatic brain injury: a retrospective multi-center cohort study

BACKGROUND: To study the association in moderate and severe pediatric traumatic brain injury (TBI) between hyperglycemia, hyperlactatemia, acidosis and unfavorable outcome, as assessed by Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category (PCPC) on discharge from the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). METHODS: Children <16 years old with TBI and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) ≤13 in an Asian multi-center PICU TBI cohort from January 2014 to October 2017 were included in this study. We defined unfavorable outcome as PCPC ≥3—moderate disability, severe disability, vegetative state, and death. We performed logistic regression to investigate the association between metabolic changes with unfavorable outcome. We divided hyperglycemia (glucose >11.1 mmol/L) during PICU admission into early-onset (within 24 h), late-onset (beyond 48 h) and persistent (throughout first 72 h). RESULTS: Among the 305 children analyzed, 136 (44.6%) had unfavorable outcome. Children with unfavorable outcome were more likely to have early hyperglycemia (75/136, 55.1% vs. 33/169, 19.5%; P<0.001), high lactate levels >2.0 mmol/L (74/136, 54.4% vs. 56/169, 32.5%; P<0.001) and initial acidosis (85/136, 62.5% vs. 78/169, 56.1%; P=0.003) compared to those with favorable outcome. After adjusting for gender, GCS ≤8 and presence of polytrauma, early hyperglycemia [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) =3.68, 95% CI: 2.12–6.39, P<0.001] and late hyperglycemia (aOR =13.30, 95% CI: 1.64–107.8, P=0.015] were independently associated with unfavorable outcome. All children with persistent hyperglycemia died. CONCLUSIONS: We described unfavorable outcome in pediatric TBI especially with persistent hyperglycemia. Future trials should investigate the causal relationship between glycemic trends, early intervention and outcome in this cohort.