Epidemiology of Oral Cancer in Taiwan: A Population-Based Cancer Registry Study

SIMPLE SUMMARY: Oral cancer (OC) is prevalent cancer worldwide, with varying incidence rates in different regions. To analyze the secular trend of the incidence of OC in Taiwan, this study used data from the national cancer registry database between 1980 and 2019. The study used the age-period-cohort model and average annual percentage change (AAPC) to examine the characteristic of incidence. The study also used Spearman’s correlation to determine the correlation between age-standard incidence rates (ASR) of OC and related risk factors. Results indicated that ASR of OC increased in men and women from 1980–1984 to 2015–2019. The age-period-cohort model revealed a peak incidence rate in the 1975 cohort in men, followed by a declining trend. The study found a correlation between the incidence of OC and changes in cigarette and alcohol consumption and the production of betel quid. Therefore, the study recommends avoiding these risk factors to prevent OC. ABSTRACT: Oral cancer (OC) is one of the most common cancers worldwide, and its incidence has regional differences. In this study, the cancer registry database obtained from 1980 to 2019 was used to analyze the characteristic of incidence of OC by average annual percentage change (AAPC) and an age–period–cohort model. Spearman’s correlation was used to analyze the relationship between the age-standard incidence rates (ASR) of OC and related risk factors. Our results showed that the ASR of OC increased from 4.19 to 27.19 per 100,000 population with an AAPC of 5.1% (95% CI = 3.9–6.3, p value < 0.001) in men and from 1.16 to 2.8 per 100,000 population with an AAPC of 3.1% (95% CI = 2.6–3.6, p value < 0.001) in women between 1980–1984 and 2015–2019. The age–period–cohort model reported a trend of rising then declining for the rate ratio in men, with peaks occurring in the 1975 cohort, with a rate ratio of 6.80. The trend of incidence of oral cancer was related to changes in the consumption of cigarettes and alcohol and production of betel quid, with r values of 0.952, 0.979 and 0.963, respectively (all p values < 0.001). We strongly suggest avoiding these risk factors in order to prevent OC.