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Hedging performance of volatility index futures: a partial cointegration approach

Using the Clegg–Krauss framework, this paper first examines a partial cointegration relationship between stock index futures and [Formula: see text] futures prices and then constructs a hedging strategy based upon this relationship. This paper argues that the stock index futures and the [Formula: se...

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Autores principales: Lee, Hsiu-Chuan, Lien, Donald, Sheu, Her-Jiun
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10099034/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11156-023-01153-4
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author Lee, Hsiu-Chuan
Lien, Donald
Sheu, Her-Jiun
author_facet Lee, Hsiu-Chuan
Lien, Donald
Sheu, Her-Jiun
author_sort Lee, Hsiu-Chuan
collection PubMed
description Using the Clegg–Krauss framework, this paper first examines a partial cointegration relationship between stock index futures and [Formula: see text] futures prices and then constructs a hedging strategy based upon this relationship. This paper argues that the stock index futures and the [Formula: see text] futures are both affected by unobservable investor sentiment and thus the price series should be modelled by the partial cointegration relationship. Our empirical results validate a partial cointegration relationship between stock index and [Formula: see text] futures prices. Based upon the partial cointegration relationship between stock index futures and [Formula: see text] futures prices, we demonstrate that the proposed strategy outperforms conventional strategies, e.g., [Formula: see text] , [Formula: see text] , and [Formula: see text] , in terms of tail risk reduction and expected utility, especially when the length of the hedge horizon increases. In addition, the partial cointegration-based strategy becomes more dominant when the stock index futures price is near its historical high. Overall, our empirical evidence of the hedging effectiveness for different hedge horizons and market timing with [Formula: see text] futures provides valuable information for practitioners in risk management.
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spelling pubmed-100990342023-04-14 Hedging performance of volatility index futures: a partial cointegration approach Lee, Hsiu-Chuan Lien, Donald Sheu, Her-Jiun Rev Quant Finan Acc Original Research Using the Clegg–Krauss framework, this paper first examines a partial cointegration relationship between stock index futures and [Formula: see text] futures prices and then constructs a hedging strategy based upon this relationship. This paper argues that the stock index futures and the [Formula: see text] futures are both affected by unobservable investor sentiment and thus the price series should be modelled by the partial cointegration relationship. Our empirical results validate a partial cointegration relationship between stock index and [Formula: see text] futures prices. Based upon the partial cointegration relationship between stock index futures and [Formula: see text] futures prices, we demonstrate that the proposed strategy outperforms conventional strategies, e.g., [Formula: see text] , [Formula: see text] , and [Formula: see text] , in terms of tail risk reduction and expected utility, especially when the length of the hedge horizon increases. In addition, the partial cointegration-based strategy becomes more dominant when the stock index futures price is near its historical high. Overall, our empirical evidence of the hedging effectiveness for different hedge horizons and market timing with [Formula: see text] futures provides valuable information for practitioners in risk management. Springer US 2023-04-13 /pmc/articles/PMC10099034/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11156-023-01153-4 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2023, Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Original Research
Lee, Hsiu-Chuan
Lien, Donald
Sheu, Her-Jiun
Hedging performance of volatility index futures: a partial cointegration approach
title Hedging performance of volatility index futures: a partial cointegration approach
title_full Hedging performance of volatility index futures: a partial cointegration approach
title_fullStr Hedging performance of volatility index futures: a partial cointegration approach
title_full_unstemmed Hedging performance of volatility index futures: a partial cointegration approach
title_short Hedging performance of volatility index futures: a partial cointegration approach
title_sort hedging performance of volatility index futures: a partial cointegration approach
topic Original Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10099034/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11156-023-01153-4
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