The challenge of demonstrating contemporary natural selection on polygenic quantitative traits in the wild

In a From the Cover article in this issue of Molecular Ecology, Ashraf et al. (2022) apply genomic prediction methods, devised by breeders to inform artificial selection, to understand the genetic component of variation in highly polygenic quantitative traits in Soay sheep (Figure 1). These methods have allowed them to investigate the effects of contemporary natural selection on genetic variation underlying these traits in the wild (Hunter et al., 2022). Genomic prediction approaches promise to enhance our understanding of the evolution of highly polygenic quantitative traits in the wild and may allow us to document concrete examples of their natural selection in real time in systems that would otherwise be intractable.