Exploration of the prognostic value of the resection of adult brainstem high-grade glioma based on competing risk model, propensity score matching, and conditional survival rate

BACKGROUND: Adult brainstem high-grade glioma (HGG) is a refractory disease, and the treatment strategy of resection is still controversial. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prognostic value of brainstem HGG resection in adults. METHODS: We collected 126,386 samples from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 1998 and 2016, and screened 973 patients diagnosed with adult brainstem HGG, who were in turn, grouped into 899 cases of non-resections and 74 cases of resections. Competing risk models were used to screen independent prognostic factors. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to reduce the influence of confounding factors. Conditional survival (CS) rate was considered to evaluate the changes in overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) of patients with HGG over time. RESULTS: Based on the competing risk model and PSM, univariate analysis showed that age ≥ 45 years and male gender were poor prognostic factors for adult brainstem HGG. No previous history of glioma was a beneficial factor. Multivariate analysis revealed only the absence of a history of glioma to be a favorable prognostic factor. Considering the CS rate of the resection group, after the patient had survived for 3 years, the OS and DSS remained unchanged at 100% during the fourth and fifth years, whereas in the non-resection group, the OS and DSS of the patients were 82% and 74%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Adult brainstem HGG resection has a poor prognosis in the early stage; however, patients have a potentially significant survival benefit after 3 years of survival. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10072-022-06557-z.