Quantitative CT screening improved lumbar BMD evaluation in older patients compared to dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry

BACKGROUND: Robust evidence on whether diagnostic discordance exists between lumbar osteoporosis detected by quantitative computed tomography (QCT) vs. dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) is still lacking. In this study involving a relatively large prospective cohort of older men (aged > 60 years) and postmenopausal women, we assessed lumbar QCT-derived volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) and DXA-derived area BMD and evaluated their predictive performance for prevalent vertebral fracture (VF). METHODS: A total of 501 patients who underwent spinal surgery from September 2020 to September 2022 were enrolled. The criteria recommended by the American College of Radiology and the World Health Organization were used for lumbar osteoporosis diagnosis. The osteoporosis detection rates between QCT and DXA were compared. QCT-vBMD was plotted against the DXA T score, and the line of best fit was calculated based on linear regression. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the associations between risk factors and VF. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed, and the corresponding area under the curve (AUC) was calculated. RESULTS: QCT screening showed that 60.7% of patients had osteoporosis, whereas DXA screening showed that 50.7% of patients had osteoporosis. Diagnoses were concordant for 325 (64.9%) patients. In all, 205 patients suffered a VF of at least one anatomic level. Of these, 84.4% (173/205) were diagnosed with osteoporosis by QCT, while only 73.2% (150/205) were diagnosed by DXA. Multivariate logistic regression showed that osteoporosis detected by QCT exhibited a stronger relationship with VF than that detected by DXA (unadjusted OR, 6.81 vs. 5.04; adjusted OR, 3.44 vs. 2.66). For discrimination between patients with and without VF, QCT-vBMD (AUC = 0.802) showed better performance than DXA T score (AUC = 0.76). CONCLUSION: In older patients undergoing spinal surgery, QCT-vBMD is more helpful than DXA in terms of osteoporosis detection rate and prediction of patients with prevalent VFs. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-023-03963-6.