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Forward-backward and period doubling bifurcations in a discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources

A discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources is proposed to understand its underlying dynamics. The model induces a nonsmooth two dimensional map that exhibits a surprising array of dynamical behavior including the phenomena of the forward-backward bifurcation and period...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Huang, Yu-Jhe, Juang, Jonq, Kuo, Tai-Yi, Liang, Yu-Hao
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10115394/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37074451
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-023-01911-x
Descripción
Sumario:A discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources is proposed to understand its underlying dynamics. The model induces a nonsmooth two dimensional map that exhibits a surprising array of dynamical behavior including the phenomena of the forward-backward bifurcation and period doubling route to chaos with feasible parameters in an invariant region. We demonstrate, among other things, that the model generates the above described phenomena as the transmission rate or the basic reproduction number of the disease gradually increases provided that the immunization rate is low, the vaccine failure rate is high and the medical resources are limited. Finally, the numerical simulations are provided to illustrate our main results.