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Forward-backward and period doubling bifurcations in a discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources

A discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources is proposed to understand its underlying dynamics. The model induces a nonsmooth two dimensional map that exhibits a surprising array of dynamical behavior including the phenomena of the forward-backward bifurcation and period...

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Autores principales: Huang, Yu-Jhe, Juang, Jonq, Kuo, Tai-Yi, Liang, Yu-Hao
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10115394/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37074451
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-023-01911-x
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author Huang, Yu-Jhe
Juang, Jonq
Kuo, Tai-Yi
Liang, Yu-Hao
author_facet Huang, Yu-Jhe
Juang, Jonq
Kuo, Tai-Yi
Liang, Yu-Hao
author_sort Huang, Yu-Jhe
collection PubMed
description A discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources is proposed to understand its underlying dynamics. The model induces a nonsmooth two dimensional map that exhibits a surprising array of dynamical behavior including the phenomena of the forward-backward bifurcation and period doubling route to chaos with feasible parameters in an invariant region. We demonstrate, among other things, that the model generates the above described phenomena as the transmission rate or the basic reproduction number of the disease gradually increases provided that the immunization rate is low, the vaccine failure rate is high and the medical resources are limited. Finally, the numerical simulations are provided to illustrate our main results.
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spelling pubmed-101153942023-04-20 Forward-backward and period doubling bifurcations in a discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources Huang, Yu-Jhe Juang, Jonq Kuo, Tai-Yi Liang, Yu-Hao J Math Biol Article A discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources is proposed to understand its underlying dynamics. The model induces a nonsmooth two dimensional map that exhibits a surprising array of dynamical behavior including the phenomena of the forward-backward bifurcation and period doubling route to chaos with feasible parameters in an invariant region. We demonstrate, among other things, that the model generates the above described phenomena as the transmission rate or the basic reproduction number of the disease gradually increases provided that the immunization rate is low, the vaccine failure rate is high and the medical resources are limited. Finally, the numerical simulations are provided to illustrate our main results. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2023-04-19 2023 /pmc/articles/PMC10115394/ /pubmed/37074451 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-023-01911-x Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023, Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Huang, Yu-Jhe
Juang, Jonq
Kuo, Tai-Yi
Liang, Yu-Hao
Forward-backward and period doubling bifurcations in a discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources
title Forward-backward and period doubling bifurcations in a discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources
title_full Forward-backward and period doubling bifurcations in a discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources
title_fullStr Forward-backward and period doubling bifurcations in a discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources
title_full_unstemmed Forward-backward and period doubling bifurcations in a discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources
title_short Forward-backward and period doubling bifurcations in a discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources
title_sort forward-backward and period doubling bifurcations in a discrete epidemic model with vaccination and limited medical resources
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10115394/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37074451
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-023-01911-x
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