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A caputo fractional order epidemic model for evaluating the effectiveness of high-risk quarantine and vaccination strategies on the spread of COVID-19

The recent global Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) threat to the human race requires research on preventing its reemergence without affecting socio-economic factors. This study proposes a fractional-order mathematical model to analyze the impact of high-risk quarantine and vaccination on COVID-19 tran...

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Autores principales: Olayiwola, Morufu Oyedunsi, Alaje, Adedapo Ismaila, Olarewaju, Akeem Yunus, Adedokun, Kamilu Adewale
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10118058/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37101804
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.health.2023.100179
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author Olayiwola, Morufu Oyedunsi
Alaje, Adedapo Ismaila
Olarewaju, Akeem Yunus
Adedokun, Kamilu Adewale
author_facet Olayiwola, Morufu Oyedunsi
Alaje, Adedapo Ismaila
Olarewaju, Akeem Yunus
Adedokun, Kamilu Adewale
author_sort Olayiwola, Morufu Oyedunsi
collection PubMed
description The recent global Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) threat to the human race requires research on preventing its reemergence without affecting socio-economic factors. This study proposes a fractional-order mathematical model to analyze the impact of high-risk quarantine and vaccination on COVID-19 transmission. The proposed model is used to analyze real-life COVID-19 data to develop and analyze the solutions and their feasibilities. Numerical simulations study the high-risk quarantine and vaccination strategies and show that both strategies effectively reduce the virus prevalence, but their combined application is more effective. We also demonstrate that their effectiveness varies with the volatile rate of change in the system’s distribution. The results are analyzed using Caputo fractional order and presented graphically and extensively analyzed to highlight potent ways of curbing the virus.
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spelling pubmed-101180582023-04-21 A caputo fractional order epidemic model for evaluating the effectiveness of high-risk quarantine and vaccination strategies on the spread of COVID-19 Olayiwola, Morufu Oyedunsi Alaje, Adedapo Ismaila Olarewaju, Akeem Yunus Adedokun, Kamilu Adewale Healthc Anal (N Y) Article The recent global Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) threat to the human race requires research on preventing its reemergence without affecting socio-economic factors. This study proposes a fractional-order mathematical model to analyze the impact of high-risk quarantine and vaccination on COVID-19 transmission. The proposed model is used to analyze real-life COVID-19 data to develop and analyze the solutions and their feasibilities. Numerical simulations study the high-risk quarantine and vaccination strategies and show that both strategies effectively reduce the virus prevalence, but their combined application is more effective. We also demonstrate that their effectiveness varies with the volatile rate of change in the system’s distribution. The results are analyzed using Caputo fractional order and presented graphically and extensively analyzed to highlight potent ways of curbing the virus. The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. 2023-11 2023-04-20 /pmc/articles/PMC10118058/ /pubmed/37101804 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.health.2023.100179 Text en © 2023 The Author(s) Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Olayiwola, Morufu Oyedunsi
Alaje, Adedapo Ismaila
Olarewaju, Akeem Yunus
Adedokun, Kamilu Adewale
A caputo fractional order epidemic model for evaluating the effectiveness of high-risk quarantine and vaccination strategies on the spread of COVID-19
title A caputo fractional order epidemic model for evaluating the effectiveness of high-risk quarantine and vaccination strategies on the spread of COVID-19
title_full A caputo fractional order epidemic model for evaluating the effectiveness of high-risk quarantine and vaccination strategies on the spread of COVID-19
title_fullStr A caputo fractional order epidemic model for evaluating the effectiveness of high-risk quarantine and vaccination strategies on the spread of COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed A caputo fractional order epidemic model for evaluating the effectiveness of high-risk quarantine and vaccination strategies on the spread of COVID-19
title_short A caputo fractional order epidemic model for evaluating the effectiveness of high-risk quarantine and vaccination strategies on the spread of COVID-19
title_sort caputo fractional order epidemic model for evaluating the effectiveness of high-risk quarantine and vaccination strategies on the spread of covid-19
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10118058/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37101804
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.health.2023.100179
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