Long-term major adverse cardiovascular events following myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery: meta-analysis

BACKGROUND: Myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery is diagnosed following asymptomatic troponin elevation in the perioperative interval. Myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery is associated with high mortality rates and significant rates of major adverse cardiac events within the first 30 days following surgery. However, less is known regarding its impact on mortality and morbidity beyond this time. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to establish the rates of long-term morbidity and mortality associated with myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery. METHODS: MEDLINE, Embase and Cochrane CENTRAL were searched, and abstracts screened by two reviewers. Observational studies and control arms of trials, reporting mortality and cardiovascular outcomes beyond 30 days in adult patients diagnosed with myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery, were included. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality in Prognostic Studies tool. A random-effects model was used for the meta-analysis of outcome subgroups. RESULTS: Searches identified 40 studies. The meta-analysis of 37 cohort studies found a rate of major adverse cardiac events-associated myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery of 21 per cent and mortality following myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery was 25 per cent at 1-year follow-up. A non-linear increase in mortality rate was observed up to 1 year after surgery. Major adverse cardiac event rates were also lower in elective surgery compared with a subgroup including emergency cases. The analysis demonstrated a wide variety of accepted myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery and major adverse cardiac events diagnostic criteria within the included studies. CONCLUSION: A diagnosis of myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery is associated with high rates of poor cardiovascular outcomes up to 1 year after surgery. Work is needed to standardize diagnostic criteria and reporting of myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery-related outcomes. REGISTRATION: This review was prospectively registered with PROSPERO in October 2021 (CRD42021283995).