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49 Spatial variation in the effect of heat waves on pediatric acute care utilization in California (2000-2019)
OBJECTIVES/GOALS: The increasing frequency and severity of heat waves due to climate change present unique risks to children. We aim to assess how various heat wave definitions impact pediatric acute care utilization across California. We also hope to examine heat waves’localized effects at the zip...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Cambridge University Press
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10129639/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/cts.2023.139 |
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author | Ndovu, Allan Benmarhnia, Tarik |
author_facet | Ndovu, Allan Benmarhnia, Tarik |
author_sort | Ndovu, Allan |
collection | PubMed |
description | OBJECTIVES/GOALS: The increasing frequency and severity of heat waves due to climate change present unique risks to children. We aim to assess how various heat wave definitions impact pediatric acute care utilization across California. We also hope to examine heat waves’localized effects at the zip code level and how contextual factors modulate these effects. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: A time-stratified case crossover will evaluate the association between different heat wave definitions and pediatric acute care utilization throughout California. A within-community matched design analysis coupled with a bayesian model will examine heat waves’ effects at the zip code level. A random effect meta-regression will determine which contextual factors modulate heat waves’ impact on different zip codes. Temperature data will be pulled from Cal-Adapt and interpolated to each zip code population centroid. Data for all unscheduled pediatric hospitalizations and ED visits for selected ICD codes in California from 2000–2019 will be obtained from the California Department of Health Care Access and Information. Contextual factors will be sourced from the US Census and the Healthy Places Index. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: We anticipate that heat waves will be associated with increased pediatric acute care utilization throughout California for select ICD codes. At the zip code level, we anticipate that there will be considerable spatial variation in the association between heat waves and care utilization based on region and zip code characteristics. Furthermore, we expect to see significant variation in the association between heat waves and hospitalizations based on the selected heat wave definition. We predict that zip codes with the highest increases in care utilization will have higher percentages of non-white residents, lower socioeconomic status, and fewer heat protective factors like park density and tree coverage. DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE: As global temperatures continue to rise, children will be increasingly susceptible to health consequences associated with heat exposure. Understanding which pediatric populations are most vulnerable during heat waves is critical for designing policies and interventions that protect the most vulnerable communities. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10129639 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Cambridge University Press |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-101296392023-04-26 49 Spatial variation in the effect of heat waves on pediatric acute care utilization in California (2000-2019) Ndovu, Allan Benmarhnia, Tarik J Clin Transl Sci Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design OBJECTIVES/GOALS: The increasing frequency and severity of heat waves due to climate change present unique risks to children. We aim to assess how various heat wave definitions impact pediatric acute care utilization across California. We also hope to examine heat waves’localized effects at the zip code level and how contextual factors modulate these effects. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: A time-stratified case crossover will evaluate the association between different heat wave definitions and pediatric acute care utilization throughout California. A within-community matched design analysis coupled with a bayesian model will examine heat waves’ effects at the zip code level. A random effect meta-regression will determine which contextual factors modulate heat waves’ impact on different zip codes. Temperature data will be pulled from Cal-Adapt and interpolated to each zip code population centroid. Data for all unscheduled pediatric hospitalizations and ED visits for selected ICD codes in California from 2000–2019 will be obtained from the California Department of Health Care Access and Information. Contextual factors will be sourced from the US Census and the Healthy Places Index. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: We anticipate that heat waves will be associated with increased pediatric acute care utilization throughout California for select ICD codes. At the zip code level, we anticipate that there will be considerable spatial variation in the association between heat waves and care utilization based on region and zip code characteristics. Furthermore, we expect to see significant variation in the association between heat waves and hospitalizations based on the selected heat wave definition. We predict that zip codes with the highest increases in care utilization will have higher percentages of non-white residents, lower socioeconomic status, and fewer heat protective factors like park density and tree coverage. DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE: As global temperatures continue to rise, children will be increasingly susceptible to health consequences associated with heat exposure. Understanding which pediatric populations are most vulnerable during heat waves is critical for designing policies and interventions that protect the most vulnerable communities. Cambridge University Press 2023-04-24 /pmc/articles/PMC10129639/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/cts.2023.139 Text en © The Association for Clinical and Translational Science 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work. |
spellingShingle | Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design Ndovu, Allan Benmarhnia, Tarik 49 Spatial variation in the effect of heat waves on pediatric acute care utilization in California (2000-2019) |
title | 49 Spatial variation in the effect of heat waves on pediatric acute care utilization in California (2000-2019) |
title_full | 49 Spatial variation in the effect of heat waves on pediatric acute care utilization in California (2000-2019) |
title_fullStr | 49 Spatial variation in the effect of heat waves on pediatric acute care utilization in California (2000-2019) |
title_full_unstemmed | 49 Spatial variation in the effect of heat waves on pediatric acute care utilization in California (2000-2019) |
title_short | 49 Spatial variation in the effect of heat waves on pediatric acute care utilization in California (2000-2019) |
title_sort | 49 spatial variation in the effect of heat waves on pediatric acute care utilization in california (2000-2019) |
topic | Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10129639/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/cts.2023.139 |
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