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The increase in intensity and frequency of surface air temperature extremes throughout the western South Atlantic coast

The climate is changing. At this stage, it is important to specify an ‘extreme’ climate and identify patterns that indicate its potential harm worldwide, including the coastal zones. Herein, we considered extremes based on the “Peaks Over Threshold” method from the “Extreme Value Theory”. We looked...

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Autores principales: Sanches, Fábio H. C., Martins, Fernando R., Conti, William R. P., Christofoletti, Ronaldo A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10130182/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37185936
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-32722-1
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author Sanches, Fábio H. C.
Martins, Fernando R.
Conti, William R. P.
Christofoletti, Ronaldo A.
author_facet Sanches, Fábio H. C.
Martins, Fernando R.
Conti, William R. P.
Christofoletti, Ronaldo A.
author_sort Sanches, Fábio H. C.
collection PubMed
description The climate is changing. At this stage, it is important to specify an ‘extreme’ climate and identify patterns that indicate its potential harm worldwide, including the coastal zones. Herein, we considered extremes based on the “Peaks Over Threshold” method from the “Extreme Value Theory”. We looked after geographical patterns of surface air temperature (SAT) extremes (e.g., T(max), T(min), daily temperature range (DTR), and inter-daily temperature range) over the last 40 years throughout the Brazilian coast. Overall, we found a trend increase in intensity and frequency, but the duration was barely affected. The latitudinal pattern of extremes and the temperatures considered extremes followed the settled perception that areas in higher latitudes will be more affected by the extent of warming. Additionally, the seasonal pattern of DTR demonstrated to be a good approach to make inferences about air mass changes, but joint analyses on extremes with other atmospheric variables are desirable. Given the potential effects of extreme climates on society and natural systems over the world, our study highlights the urge for action to mitigate the effects of the increase in SAT in coastal zones.
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spelling pubmed-101301822023-04-27 The increase in intensity and frequency of surface air temperature extremes throughout the western South Atlantic coast Sanches, Fábio H. C. Martins, Fernando R. Conti, William R. P. Christofoletti, Ronaldo A. Sci Rep Article The climate is changing. At this stage, it is important to specify an ‘extreme’ climate and identify patterns that indicate its potential harm worldwide, including the coastal zones. Herein, we considered extremes based on the “Peaks Over Threshold” method from the “Extreme Value Theory”. We looked after geographical patterns of surface air temperature (SAT) extremes (e.g., T(max), T(min), daily temperature range (DTR), and inter-daily temperature range) over the last 40 years throughout the Brazilian coast. Overall, we found a trend increase in intensity and frequency, but the duration was barely affected. The latitudinal pattern of extremes and the temperatures considered extremes followed the settled perception that areas in higher latitudes will be more affected by the extent of warming. Additionally, the seasonal pattern of DTR demonstrated to be a good approach to make inferences about air mass changes, but joint analyses on extremes with other atmospheric variables are desirable. Given the potential effects of extreme climates on society and natural systems over the world, our study highlights the urge for action to mitigate the effects of the increase in SAT in coastal zones. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-04-25 /pmc/articles/PMC10130182/ /pubmed/37185936 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-32722-1 Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Sanches, Fábio H. C.
Martins, Fernando R.
Conti, William R. P.
Christofoletti, Ronaldo A.
The increase in intensity and frequency of surface air temperature extremes throughout the western South Atlantic coast
title The increase in intensity and frequency of surface air temperature extremes throughout the western South Atlantic coast
title_full The increase in intensity and frequency of surface air temperature extremes throughout the western South Atlantic coast
title_fullStr The increase in intensity and frequency of surface air temperature extremes throughout the western South Atlantic coast
title_full_unstemmed The increase in intensity and frequency of surface air temperature extremes throughout the western South Atlantic coast
title_short The increase in intensity and frequency of surface air temperature extremes throughout the western South Atlantic coast
title_sort increase in intensity and frequency of surface air temperature extremes throughout the western south atlantic coast
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10130182/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37185936
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-32722-1
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