The Association Between Borderline Dysnatremia and Perioperative Morbidity and Mortality: Retrospective Cohort Study of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Database

BACKGROUND: Hyponatremia and hypernatremia, as conventionally defined (<135 mEq/L and >145 mEq/L, respectively), are associated with increased perioperative morbidity and mortality. However, the effects of subtle deviations in serum sodium concentration within the normal range are not well-characterized. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this analysis is to determine the association between borderline hyponatremia (135-137 mEq/L) and hypernatremia (143-145 mEq/L) on perioperative morbidity and mortality. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed using data from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. This database is a repository of surgical outcome data collected from over 600 hospitals across the United States. The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried to extract all patients undergoing elective, noncardiac surgery from 2015 to 2019. The primary predictor variable was preoperative serum sodium concentration, measured less than 5 days before the index surgery. The 2 primary outcomes were the odds of morbidity and mortality occurring within 30 days of surgery. The risk of both outcomes in relation to preoperative serum sodium concentration was modeled using weighted generalized additive models to minimize the effect of selection bias while controlling for covariates. RESULTS: In the overall cohort, 1,003,956 of 4,551,726 available patients had a serum sodium concentration drawn within 5 days of their index surgery. The odds of morbidity and mortality across sodium levels of 130-150 mEq/L relative to a sodium level of 140 mEq/L followed a nonnormally distributed U-shaped curve. The mean serum sodium concentration in the study population was 139 mEq/L. All continuous covariates were significantly associated with both morbidity and mortality (P<.001). Preoperative serum sodium concentrations of less than 139 mEq/L and those greater than 144 mEq/L were independently associated with increased morbidity probabilities. Serum sodium concentrations of less than 138 mEq/L and those greater than 142 mEq/L were associated with increased mortality probabilities. Hypernatremia was associated with higher odds of both morbidity and mortality than corresponding degrees of hyponatremia. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients undergoing elective, noncardiac surgery, this retrospective analysis found that preoperative serum sodium levels less than 138 mEq/L and those greater than 142 mEq/L are associated with increased morbidity and mortality, even within currently accepted “normal” ranges. The retrospective nature of this investigation limits the ability to make causal determinations for these findings. Given the U-shaped distribution of risk, past investigations that assume a linear relationship between serum sodium concentration and surgical outcomes may need to be revisited. Likewise, these results question the current definition of perioperative eunatremia, which may require future prospective investigations.