Interactions between Culturable Bacteria Are Predicted by Individual Species’ Growth

Predicting interspecies interactions is a key challenge in microbial ecology given that interactions shape the composition and functioning of microbial communities. However, predicting microbial interactions is challenging because they can vary considerably depending on species’ metabolic capabilities and environmental conditions. Here, we employ machine learning models to predict pairwise interactions between culturable bacteria based on their phylogeny, monoculture growth capabilities, and interactions with other species. We trained our models on one of the largest available pairwise interactions data set containing over 7,500 interactions between 20 species from two taxonomic groups that were cocultured in 40 different carbon environments. Our models accurately predicted both the sign (accuracy of 88%) and the strength of effects (R(2) of 0.87) species had on each other’s growth. Encouragingly, predictions with comparable accuracy could be made even when not relying on information about interactions with other species, which are often hard to measure. However, species’ monoculture growth was essential to the model, as predictions based solely on species’ phylogeny and inferred metabolic capabilities were significantly less accurate. These results bring us one step closer to a predictive understanding of microbial communities, which is essential for engineering beneficial microbial consortia. IMPORTANCE In order to understand the function and structure of microbial communities, one must know all pairwise interactions that occur between the different species within the community, as these interactions shape the community’s structure and functioning. However, measuring all pairwise interactions can be an extremely difficult task especially when dealing with big complex communities. Because of that, predicting interspecies interactions is a key challenge in microbial ecology. Here, we use machine learning models in order to accurately predict the type and strength of interactions. We trained our models on one of the largest available pairwise interactions data set, containing over 7,500 interactions between 20 different species that were cocultured in 40 different environments. Our results show that, in general, accurate predictions can be made, and that the ability of each species to grow on its own in the given environment contributes the most to predictions. Being able to predict microbial interactions would put us one step closer to predicting the functionality of microbial communities and to rationally microbiome engineering.