Identification of atypical sleep microarchitecture biomarkers in children with autism spectrum disorder

IMPORTANCE: Sleep disorders are one of the most frequent comorbidities in children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD). However, the link between neurodevelopmental effects in ASD children with their underlying sleep microarchitecture is not well understood. An improved understanding of etiology of sleep difficulties and identification of sleep-associated biomarkers for children with ASD can improve the accuracy of clinical diagnosis. OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether machine learning models can identify biomarkers for children with ASD based on sleep EEG recordings. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Sleep polysomnogram data were obtained from the Nationwide Children’ Health (NCH) Sleep DataBank. Children (ages: 8–16 yrs) with 149 autism and 197 age-matched controls without neurodevelopmental diagnosis were selected for analysis. An additional independent age-matched control group (n = 79) selected from the Childhood Adenotonsillectomy Trial (CHAT) was also used to validate the models. Furthermore, an independent smaller NCH cohort of younger infants and toddlers (age: 0.5–3 yr.; 38 autism and 75 controls) was used for additional validation. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: We computed periodic and non-periodic characteristics from sleep EEG recordings: sleep stages, spectral power, sleep spindle characteristics, and aperiodic signals. Machine learning models including the Logistic Regression (LR) classifier, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Random Forest (RF) model were trained using these features. We determined the autism class based on the prediction score of the classifier. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were used to evaluate the model performance. RESULTS: In the NCH study, RF outperformed two other models with a 10-fold cross-validated median AUC of 0.95 (interquartile range [IQR], [0.93, 0.98]). The LR and SVM models performed comparably across multiple metrics, with median AUC 0.80 [0.78, 0.85] and 0.83 [0.79, 0.87], respectively. In the CHAT study, three tested models have comparable AUC results: LR: 0.83 [0.76, 0.92], SVM: 0.87 [0.75, 1.00], and RF: 0.85 [0.75, 1.00]. Sleep spindle density, amplitude, spindle-slow oscillation (SSO) coupling, aperiodic signal’s spectral slope and intercept, as well as the percentage of REM sleep were found to be key discriminative features in the predictive models. CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: Our results suggest that integration of EEG feature engineering and machine learning can identify sleep-based biomarkers for ASD children and produce good generalization in independent validation datasets. Microstructural EEG alterations may help reveal underlying pathophysiological mechanisms of autism that alter sleep quality and behaviors. Machine learning analysis may reveal new insight into the etiology and treatment of sleep difficulties in autism.