25(OH)D-but not 1,25(OH)(2)D–Is an independent risk factor predicting graft loss in stable kidney transplant recipients

BACKGROUND: Vitamin D deficiency (VDD) or vitamin D insufficiency is common in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). The impact of VDD on clinical outcomes in KTRs remain poorly defined and the most suitable marker for assessing vitamin D nutritional status in KTRs is unknown so far. METHODS: We conducted a prospective study including 600 stable KTRs (367 men, 233 women) and a meta-analysis to pool existing evidence to determine whether 25(OH)D or 1,25(OH)(2)D predicted graft failure and all-cause mortality in stable KTRs. RESULTS: Compared with a higher 25(OH)D concentration, a low concentration of 25(OH)D was a risk factor for graft failure (HR 0.946, 95% CI 0.912−0.981, p = 0.003), whereas 1,25 (OH)(2)D was not associated with the study end-point graft loss (HR 0.993, 95% CI 0.977−1.009, p = 0.402). No association was found between either 25(OH)D or 1,25 (OH)(2)D and all-cause mortality. We furthermore conducted a meta-analysis including 8 studies regarding the association between 25(OH)D or 1,25(OH)(2)D and graft failure or mortality, including our study. The meta-analysis results were consistent with our study in finding that lower 25(OH)D levels were significantly associated with the risk of graft failure (OR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01−1.07), but not associated with mortality (OR = 1.00, 95% CI: 0.98−1.03). Lower 1,25(OH)(2)D levels were not associated with the risk of graft failure (OR = 1.01, 95% CI: 0.99−1.02) and mortality (OR = 1.01, 95% CI: 0.99−1.02). CONCLUSION: Baseline 25(OH)D concentrations but not 1,25(OH)(2)D concentrations were independently and inversely associated with graft loss in adult KTRs.