High levels of baseline serum IL-10 are associated with reduced clinical benefit from first-line immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy in advanced renal cell carcinoma

Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) became a standard treatment for advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC). However, clinically valid biomarkers of therapeutic outcome are lacking. We investigated the role of interleukin-10 (IL-10) as a predictive biomarker for first-line ICI therapy in patients with advanced RCC. Baseline serum samples were prospectively collected and analyzed using a cytometric bead assay. Patients were divided into two groups according to their serum IL-10 levels using maximally selected rank statistics. A fraction (13.0%) of patients had high levels of serum IL-10 at baseline. High serum IL-10 levels (> 4.3 ng/mL) were associated with a significantly shorter progression-free (median: 5.2 months vs. not reached, P = 0.007) and overall survival (median: 13.9 months vs. not reached, P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed the independent association between high serum IL-10 levels and poor survival outcomes. Effector cytokine production and the proliferative response of CD8(+) T cells were significantly lower in patients with high serum IL-10 levels, who also had a shorter duration of response to first-line ICI therapy (4.6 months vs. not reached, P < 0.001). In conclusion, elevated serum IL-10 levels at baseline were associated with reduced clinical benefit from first-line ICI therapy in patients with advanced RCC.