Staffing Shortages, Staffing Hours, and Resident Deaths in US Nursing Homes During the COVID-19 Pandemic

OBJECTIVES: Staffing shortages at nursing homes during the COVID-19 pandemic may have impacted care providers' staffing hours and affected residents’ care and outcomes. This study examines the association of staffing shortages with staffing hours and resident deaths in nursing homes during the COVID-19 pandemic. DESIGN: This study measured staffing hours per resident using payroll data and measured weekly resident deaths and staffing shortages using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Healthcare Safety Network data. Multivariate linear regressions with facility and county-week fixed effects were used to investigate the association of staffing shortages with staffing hours and resident deaths. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 15,212 nursing homes. MEASURES: The primary outcomes included staffing hours per resident of registered nurses (RNs), licensed practical nurses (LPNs), and certified nursing assistants (CNAs) and weekly total deaths per 100 residents. RESULTS: Between May 31, 2020, and May 15, 2022, 18.4% to 33.3% of nursing homes reported staffing shortages during any week. Staffing shortages were associated with lower staffing hours per resident with a 0.009 decrease in RN hours per resident (95% CI 0.005-0.014), a 0.014 decrease in LPN hours per resident (95% CI 0.010-0.018), and a 0.050 decrease in CNA hours per resident (95% CI 0.043-0.057). These are equivalent to a 1.8%, 1.7%, and 2.4% decline, respectively. There was a positive association between staffing shortages and resident deaths with 0.068 (95% CI 0.048-0.088) total deaths per 100 residents. This was equivalent to an increase of 10.5%. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Our results showed that self-reported staffing shortages were associated with a statistically significant decrease in staffing hours and with a statistically significant increase in resident deaths. These results suggest that addressing staffing shortages in nursing homes can save lives.