HDL-cholesterol concentration and its association with coronary artery calcification: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery calcification (CAC) is a potential risk marker of coronary atherosclerosis that has high specificity and sensitivity. However, the association between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) concentration and CAC incidence and progression is controversial. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus were systematically searched to identify relevant observational studies up to March 2023 and assessed the methodological quality using Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) scale. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to estimate pooled odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence interval considering heterogeneity across studies. RESULTS: Of the 2,411 records, 25 cross-sectional (n = 71,190) and 13 cohort (n = 25,442) studies were included in the systematic review. Ten cross-sectional and eight cohort studies were not eligible and were omitted from the meta-analysis. A total of 15 eligible cross-sectional studies (n = 33,913) were included in the meta-analysis and pooled results revealed no significant association between HDL-C and CAC > 0, CAC > 10, or CAC > 100 [pooled OR: 0.99 (0.97, 1.01)]. Meta-analysis of the 5 eligible prospective cohort studies (n = 10,721) revealed no significant protective effect of high HDL-C against CAC > 0 [pooled OR: 1.02 (0.93, 1.13)]. CONCLUSIONS: According to this analysis of observational studies, high HDL-C levels were not found to predict protection against CAC. These results suggest HDL quality rather than HDL quantity is important for certain aspects of atherogenesis and CAC. REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021292077. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12944-023-01827-x.