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Aeolus winds impact on volcanic ash early warning systems for aviation
Forecasting volcanic ash atmospheric pathways is of utmost importance for aviation. Volcanic ash can interfere with aircraft navigational instruments and can damage engine parts. Early warning systems, activated after volcanic eruptions can alleviate the impacts on aviation by providing forecasts of...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10170106/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37161051 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-34715-6 |
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author | Amiridis, Vassilis Kampouri, Anna Gkikas, Antonis Misios, Stergios Gialitaki, Anna Marinou, Eleni Rennie, Michael Benedetti, Angela Solomos, Stavros Zanis, Prodromos Vasardani, Olympia Eleftheratos, Konstantinos Paschou, Peristera Georgiou, Thanasis Scollo, Simona Mona, Lucia Papagiannopoulos, Nikolaos Retscher, Christian Parrinello, Tommaso Straume, Anne Grete |
author_facet | Amiridis, Vassilis Kampouri, Anna Gkikas, Antonis Misios, Stergios Gialitaki, Anna Marinou, Eleni Rennie, Michael Benedetti, Angela Solomos, Stavros Zanis, Prodromos Vasardani, Olympia Eleftheratos, Konstantinos Paschou, Peristera Georgiou, Thanasis Scollo, Simona Mona, Lucia Papagiannopoulos, Nikolaos Retscher, Christian Parrinello, Tommaso Straume, Anne Grete |
author_sort | Amiridis, Vassilis |
collection | PubMed |
description | Forecasting volcanic ash atmospheric pathways is of utmost importance for aviation. Volcanic ash can interfere with aircraft navigational instruments and can damage engine parts. Early warning systems, activated after volcanic eruptions can alleviate the impacts on aviation by providing forecasts of the volcanic ash plume dispersion. The quality of these short-term forecasts is subject to the accuracy of the meteorological wind fields used for the initialization of regional models. Here, we use wind profiling data from the first high spectral resolution lidar in space, Aeolus, to examine the impact of measured wind fields on regional NWP and subsequent volcanic ash dispersion forecasts, focusing on the case of Etna’s eruption on March 2021. The results from this case study demonstrate a significant improvement of the volcanic ash simulation when using Aeolus-assimilated meteorological fields, with differences in wind speed reaching up to 8 m/s when compared to the control run. When comparing the volcanic ash forecast profiles with downwind surface-based aerosol lidar observations, the modeled field is consistent with the measurements only when Aeolus winds are assimilated. This result clearly demonstrates the potential of Aeolus and highlights the necessity of future wind profiling satellite missions for improving volcanic ash forecasting and hence aviation safety. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10170106 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-101701062023-05-11 Aeolus winds impact on volcanic ash early warning systems for aviation Amiridis, Vassilis Kampouri, Anna Gkikas, Antonis Misios, Stergios Gialitaki, Anna Marinou, Eleni Rennie, Michael Benedetti, Angela Solomos, Stavros Zanis, Prodromos Vasardani, Olympia Eleftheratos, Konstantinos Paschou, Peristera Georgiou, Thanasis Scollo, Simona Mona, Lucia Papagiannopoulos, Nikolaos Retscher, Christian Parrinello, Tommaso Straume, Anne Grete Sci Rep Article Forecasting volcanic ash atmospheric pathways is of utmost importance for aviation. Volcanic ash can interfere with aircraft navigational instruments and can damage engine parts. Early warning systems, activated after volcanic eruptions can alleviate the impacts on aviation by providing forecasts of the volcanic ash plume dispersion. The quality of these short-term forecasts is subject to the accuracy of the meteorological wind fields used for the initialization of regional models. Here, we use wind profiling data from the first high spectral resolution lidar in space, Aeolus, to examine the impact of measured wind fields on regional NWP and subsequent volcanic ash dispersion forecasts, focusing on the case of Etna’s eruption on March 2021. The results from this case study demonstrate a significant improvement of the volcanic ash simulation when using Aeolus-assimilated meteorological fields, with differences in wind speed reaching up to 8 m/s when compared to the control run. When comparing the volcanic ash forecast profiles with downwind surface-based aerosol lidar observations, the modeled field is consistent with the measurements only when Aeolus winds are assimilated. This result clearly demonstrates the potential of Aeolus and highlights the necessity of future wind profiling satellite missions for improving volcanic ash forecasting and hence aviation safety. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-05-09 /pmc/articles/PMC10170106/ /pubmed/37161051 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-34715-6 Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Article Amiridis, Vassilis Kampouri, Anna Gkikas, Antonis Misios, Stergios Gialitaki, Anna Marinou, Eleni Rennie, Michael Benedetti, Angela Solomos, Stavros Zanis, Prodromos Vasardani, Olympia Eleftheratos, Konstantinos Paschou, Peristera Georgiou, Thanasis Scollo, Simona Mona, Lucia Papagiannopoulos, Nikolaos Retscher, Christian Parrinello, Tommaso Straume, Anne Grete Aeolus winds impact on volcanic ash early warning systems for aviation |
title | Aeolus winds impact on volcanic ash early warning systems for aviation |
title_full | Aeolus winds impact on volcanic ash early warning systems for aviation |
title_fullStr | Aeolus winds impact on volcanic ash early warning systems for aviation |
title_full_unstemmed | Aeolus winds impact on volcanic ash early warning systems for aviation |
title_short | Aeolus winds impact on volcanic ash early warning systems for aviation |
title_sort | aeolus winds impact on volcanic ash early warning systems for aviation |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10170106/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37161051 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-34715-6 |
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