Impact of individual microvascular disease on the risks of macrovascular complications in type 2 diabetes: a nationwide population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND: This study compared the risks of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality between patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) with and without microvascular diseases, and between matched patients with microvascular diseases. METHODS: We identified newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes patients from National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2019. Propensity score matching was applied to construct matched pairs of patients with diabetic kidney disease, retinopathy, or neuropathy. Multivariable Cox proportional-hazard models were adopted to compare the risks of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. RESULTS: Patients with microvascular disease had a significantly higher risk of cardiovascular morbidities and mortality than those without microvascular disease. Among the matched cohorts, patients with diabetic retinopathy had a significantly higher risk of stroke development than those with diabetic kidney disease (aHR 1.11, 95%CI 1.03–1.2). Diabetic neuropathy showed a significantly higher risk of stroke development than diabetic kidney disease (aHR 1.17, 95%CI 1.1–1.25) and diabetic retinopathy (aHR 1.12, 95%CI 1.03–1.21). Diabetic retinopathy had a significantly higher risk of incident heart failure than diabetic kidney disease (aHR 1.43, 95%CI 1.3–1.57), and diabetic neuropathy had a significantly lower risk of incident heart failure than diabetic retinopathy (aHR 0.79, 95%CI 0.71–0.87). CONCLUSIONS: T2D patients with microvascular disease have a significantly higher risk of cardiovascular morbidities and mortality than those without microvascular disease. In the matched cohorts, diabetic neuropathy was significantly associated with stroke development, and diabetic retinopathy had a significant association with heart failure compared to other microvascular diseases. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-023-01821-8.