A novel risk stratification model for STEMI after primary PCI: global longitudinal strain and deep neural network assisted myocardial contrast echocardiography quantitative analysis

BACKGROUND: In ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) with the restoration of TIMI 3 flow by percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), visually defined microvascular obstruction (MVO) was shown to be the predictor of poor prognosis, but not an ideal risk stratification method. We intend to introduce deep neural network (DNN) assisted myocardial contrast echocardiography (MCE) quantitative analysis and propose a better risk stratification model. METHODS: 194 STEMI patients with successful primary PCI with at least 6 months follow-up were included. MCE was performed within 48 h after PCI. The major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were defined as cardiac death, congestive heart failure, reinfarction, stroke, and recurrent angina. The perfusion parameters were derived from a DNN-based myocardial segmentation framework. Three patterns of visual microvascular perfusion (MVP) qualitative analysis: normal, delay, and MVO. Clinical markers and imaging features, including global longitudinal strain (GLS) were analyzed. A calculator for risk was constructed and validated with bootstrap resampling. RESULTS: The time-cost for processing 7,403 MCE frames is 773 s. The correlation coefficients of microvascular blood flow (MBF) were 0.99 to 0.97 for intra-observer and inter-observer variability. 38 patients met MACE in 6-month follow-up. We proposed A risk prediction model based on MBF [HR: 0.93 (0.91–0.95)] in culprit lesion areas and GLS [HR: 0.80 (0.73–0.88)]. At the best risk threshold of 40%, the AUC was 0.95 (sensitivity: 0.84, specificity: 0.94), better than visual MVP method (AUC: 0.70, Sensitivity: 0.89, Specificity: 0.40, IDI: −0.49). The Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the proposed risk prediction model allowed for better risk stratification. CONCLUSION: The MBF + GLS model allowed more accurate risk stratification of STEMI after PCI than visual qualitative analysis. The DNN-assisted MCE quantitative analysis is an objective, efficient and reproducible method to evaluate microvascular perfusion.