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Time-dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model

In this paper we calculate the variation of the estimated vaccine efficacy (VE) due to the time-dependent force of infection resulting from the difference between the moment the Clinical Trial (CT) begins and the peak in the outbreak intensity. Using a simple mathematical model we tested the hypothe...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Loria, Jennifer, Albani, Vinicius V. L., Coutinho, Francisco A. B., Covas, Dimas T., Struchiner, Claudio J., Zubelli, Jorge P., Massad, Eduardo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10174497/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37167285
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0285466
Descripción
Sumario:In this paper we calculate the variation of the estimated vaccine efficacy (VE) due to the time-dependent force of infection resulting from the difference between the moment the Clinical Trial (CT) begins and the peak in the outbreak intensity. Using a simple mathematical model we tested the hypothesis that the time difference between the moment the CT begins and the peak in the outbreak intensity determines substantially different values for VE. We exemplify the method with the case of the VE efficacy estimation for one of the vaccines against the new coronavirus SARS-CoV-2.