Updating the biologically based dose-response model for the nasal carcinogenicity of inhaled formaldehyde in the F344 rat

Chronic inhalation of formaldehyde by F344 rats causes nasal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). This outcome is well-characterized: including dose-response and time course data for SCC, mechanistic endpoints, and nasal dosimetry. Conolly et al. (Toxicol. Sci. 75, 432–447, 2003) used these resources to develop a biologically based dose-response (BBDR) model for SCC in F344 rats. This model, scaled up to humans, has informed dose-response conclusions reached by several international regulatory agencies. However, USEPA concluded that uncertainties precluded its use for cancer risk assessment. Here, we describe an updated BBDR model that addresses uncertainties through refined dosimetry modeling, revised analysis of labeling index data, and an extended dataset where both inhaled (exogenous) and endogenous formaldehyde (exogF, endoF) form DNA adducts. Further, since Conolly et al. (ibid) was published, it has become clear that, when controls from all F344 inhalation bioassays are considered, accounting for over 4000 rats, at most one nasal SCC occurred. This low spontaneous incidence constrains possible contribution of endoF to the formation of nasal SCC via DNA reactivity. Further, since both exogF and endoF form DNA adducts, this constraint also applies to exogF. The revised BBDR model therefore drives SCC formation through the cytotoxicity of high concentration exogF. An option for direct mutagenicity associated with DNA adducts is retained to allow estimation of an upper bound on adduct mutagenicity consistent with the lack of a spontaneous SCC incidence. These updates represent an iterative refinement of the 2003 model, incorporating new data and insights to reduce identified model uncertainties.