The survival analysis of rifampicin/multidrug-resistant tuberculosis patients based on the levels of inflammatory biomarkers: a retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE: The development of tuberculosis and inflammatory status are closely related. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of inflammatory biomarkers in patients with rifampicin/multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (RR/MDR-TB). PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study recruited 504 patients with RR/MDR-TB from Wuhan Jinyintan Hospital. A total of 348 RR/MDR patients from January 2017 to December 2019 were defined as training set, the rest of patients as validation set. The patients were divided into three-risk degrees according to the levels of inflammatory biomarkers (median, 85th percentile). Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test were used to assess survival differences among the groups. Cox proportion risk regression was used to identify risk factors for RR/MDR-TB mortality. RESULTS: In training set, cox proportion risk regression analysis showed that high age (≥60 years) [OR (95%CI):1.053(1.03188-1.077)], smoking [OR (95%CI):2.206(1.191-4.085)], and bronchiectasia [OR (95%CI):2.867(1.548-5.311)] were prognostic factors for RR/MDR-TB patients. In addition, lower survival rates were observed in high CAR group [OR (95%CI):1.464(1.275-1.681)], high CPR group[OR (95%CI):1.268(1.101-1.459)], high CLR group[OR (95%CI):1.004(1.002-1.005)], high NLR group[OR (95%CI):1.103(1.069-1.139)], high PLR group[OR (95%CI):1.003(1.002-1.004)], and high MLR group[OR (95%CI):3.471(2.188-5.508)].Furthermore, AUCs of age, smoking, bronchiectasia, CAR, CPR, CLR, NLR, PLR, and MLR for predicting mortality in RR/MDR-TB patients were 0.697(95%CI:0.618-0.775), 0.603(95%CI:0.512-0.695), 0.629(95%CI:0.538-0.721), 0.748(95%CI:0.675-0.821, P<0.05), 0.754(95%CI:0.683-0.824, P<0.05), 0.759(95%CI:0.689-0.828, P<0.05), 0.789(95%CI:0.731-0.846, P<0.05), 0.740(95%CI:0.669-0.812, P<0.05), and 0.752(95%CI:0.685-0.819, P<0.05), respectively. Importantly, the AUC of predicting mortality of combination of six inflammatory biomarkers [0.823 (95%CI:0.769-0.876)] is higher than any single inflammatory biomarkers. Additionally, the similar results are also obtained in the validation set. CONCLUSION: Inflammatory biomarkers could predict the survival status of RR/MDR-TB patients. Therefore, more attention should be paid to the level of inflammatory biomarkers in clinical practice.