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Heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases

COVID-19 pandemic appeared summer surge in 2022 worldwide and this contradicts its seasonal fluctuations. Even as high temperature and intense ultraviolet radiation can inhibit viral activity, the number of new cases worldwide has increased to >78% in only 1 month since the summer of 2022 under u...

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Autores principales: Lian, Xinbo, Huang, Jianping, Li, Han, He, Yongli, Ouyang, Zhi, Fu, Songbo, Zhao, Yingjie, Wang, Danfeng, Wang, Rui, Guan, Xiaodan
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Inc. 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10191724/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37207737
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2023.116090
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author Lian, Xinbo
Huang, Jianping
Li, Han
He, Yongli
Ouyang, Zhi
Fu, Songbo
Zhao, Yingjie
Wang, Danfeng
Wang, Rui
Guan, Xiaodan
author_facet Lian, Xinbo
Huang, Jianping
Li, Han
He, Yongli
Ouyang, Zhi
Fu, Songbo
Zhao, Yingjie
Wang, Danfeng
Wang, Rui
Guan, Xiaodan
author_sort Lian, Xinbo
collection PubMed
description COVID-19 pandemic appeared summer surge in 2022 worldwide and this contradicts its seasonal fluctuations. Even as high temperature and intense ultraviolet radiation can inhibit viral activity, the number of new cases worldwide has increased to >78% in only 1 month since the summer of 2022 under unchanged virus mutation influence and control policies. Using the attribution analysis based on the theoretical infectious diseases model simulation, we found the mechanism of the severe COVID-19 outbreak in the summer of 2022 and identified the amplification effect of heat wave events on its magnitude. The results suggest that approximately 69.3% of COVID-19 cases this summer could have been avoided if there is no heat waves. The collision between the pandemic and the heatwave is not an accident. Climate change is leading to more frequent extreme climate events and an increasing number of infectious diseases, posing an urgent threat to human health and life. Therefore, public health authorities must quickly develop coordinated management plans to deal with the simultaneous occurrence of extreme climate events and infectious diseases.
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spelling pubmed-101917242023-05-18 Heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases Lian, Xinbo Huang, Jianping Li, Han He, Yongli Ouyang, Zhi Fu, Songbo Zhao, Yingjie Wang, Danfeng Wang, Rui Guan, Xiaodan Environ Res Article COVID-19 pandemic appeared summer surge in 2022 worldwide and this contradicts its seasonal fluctuations. Even as high temperature and intense ultraviolet radiation can inhibit viral activity, the number of new cases worldwide has increased to >78% in only 1 month since the summer of 2022 under unchanged virus mutation influence and control policies. Using the attribution analysis based on the theoretical infectious diseases model simulation, we found the mechanism of the severe COVID-19 outbreak in the summer of 2022 and identified the amplification effect of heat wave events on its magnitude. The results suggest that approximately 69.3% of COVID-19 cases this summer could have been avoided if there is no heat waves. The collision between the pandemic and the heatwave is not an accident. Climate change is leading to more frequent extreme climate events and an increasing number of infectious diseases, posing an urgent threat to human health and life. Therefore, public health authorities must quickly develop coordinated management plans to deal with the simultaneous occurrence of extreme climate events and infectious diseases. Elsevier Inc. 2023-08-15 2023-05-18 /pmc/articles/PMC10191724/ /pubmed/37207737 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2023.116090 Text en © 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Lian, Xinbo
Huang, Jianping
Li, Han
He, Yongli
Ouyang, Zhi
Fu, Songbo
Zhao, Yingjie
Wang, Danfeng
Wang, Rui
Guan, Xiaodan
Heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases
title Heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases
title_full Heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases
title_fullStr Heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases
title_full_unstemmed Heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases
title_short Heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases
title_sort heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10191724/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37207737
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2023.116090
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