A nomogram based on cuproptosis-related genes predicts 7-year relapse-free survival in patients with estrogen receptor-positive early breast cancer

INTRODUCTION: Excess copper induces cell death by binding to lipoylated components of the tricarboxylic acid cycle. Although a few studies have examined the relationship between cuproptosis-related genes (CRGs) and breast cancer prognosis, reports on estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer are lacking. Herein, we aimed to analyze the relationship between CRGs and outcomes in patients with ER+ early breast cancer (EBC). METHODS: We conducted a case-control study among patients with ER+ EBC presenting poor and favorable invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) at West China Hospital. Logistic regression analysis was performed to establish the association between CRG expression and iDFS. A cohort study was performed using pooled data from three publicly available microarray datasets in the Gene Expression Omnibus database. Subsequently, we constructed a CRG score model and a nomogram to predict relapse-free survival (RFS). Finally, the prediction performance of the two models was verified using training and validation sets. RESULTS: In this case-control study, high expression of LIAS, LIPT1, and ATP7B and low CDKN2A expression were associated with favorable iDFS. In the cohort study, high expression of FDX1, LIAS, LIPT1, DLD, PDHB, and ATP7B and low CDKN2A expression were associated with favorable RFS. Using LASSO-Cox analysis, a CRG score was developed using the seven identified CRGs. Patients in the low CRG score group had a reduced risk of relapse in both training and validation sets. The nomogram included the CRG score, lymph node status, and age. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of the nomogram was significantly higher than the AUC of the CRG score at 7 years. CONCLUSIONS: The CRG score, combined with other clinical features, could afford a practical long-term outcome predictor in patients with ER+ EBC.