Revisiting electric vehicle life cycle greenhouse gas emissions in China: A marginal emission perspective

The accurate estimation of electric vehicle (EV) life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is critical for policymakers to predict and manage the reduction of GHG emissions due to transportation electrification. Most previous studies in the Chinese context evaluated the EV life cycle GHG based on the annual average emission factor (AAEF). However, the hourly marginal emission factor (HMEF), which is conceptually more appropriate than AAEF for evaluating the GHG implications of EV growth, has not been applied in China. This study fills this gap by estimating the EV life cycle GHG in China based on the HMEF and comparing it with AAEF-based estimates. It is found that the estimates based on the AAEF substantially underestimate the EV life cycle GHG in China. Moreover, the influences of the electricity marketization reform and changes in the EV charging mode on the EV life cycle GHG in China are analyzed.